HonestElo
← welterweight

Billy Ray Goff

Active #68 welterweight · age 28 · Switch · 5'10" 178 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1421
Global Elo 1468 ±37
Rank
#68
top 91% of division
UFC record
1-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
May 31, 2025
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
22m
Avg fight time
7:22
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.7
Since last fight
1y 1mo

Honest Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Aug 26, 2023 — W vs Yusaku Kinoshita Δ+30May 11, 2024 — L vs Trey Waters Δ-29May 31, 2025 — L vs Ramiz Brahimaj Δ-33 1400142014401460148015001520 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":189.7,"elo":1483,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"Yusaku Kinoshita","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":379.6,"y":266.3,"elo":1454,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Trey Waters","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":810,"y":355.1,"elo":1421,"date":"2025-05-31","opp":"Ramiz Brahimaj","result":"L","delta":-33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 31, 2025 Ramiz Brahimaj L -33
May 11, 2024 Trey Waters L -29
Aug 26, 2023 Yusaku Kinoshita W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
1
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (100%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 157 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 31%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
92% Distance
  • Distance 92%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 1%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
1 of 2
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1498
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Yusaku Kinoshita
Elo 1464 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
1.6
−0.6 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 3 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1464
1498

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Billy Ray Goff on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.