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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

1-1-0 UFC record 10-6-1
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 7 · Sub 0
+1 Streak +3
31 Age 38
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
79" 201 cm Reach 76" 193 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1518 Global Elo 1587
1469 Elo rating 1540
Uran Satybaldiev — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% of wins by submission
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
Dustin Jacoby — Notable
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • 3 KO/TKO finishes in a row
  • 70% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1

Uran Satybaldiev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 38 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 32%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 0%

Dustin Jacoby — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 901 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 2%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.14
5.44
div avg 4.68
25%
46%
div avg 51%
3.66
4.16
div avg 4.34
45%
58%
div avg 49%
0.00
0.27
div avg 1.23
0%
20%
div avg 37%
50%
57%
div avg 75%
1.69
0.00
div avg 0.61
1
1
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Uran Satybaldiev
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Dustin Jacoby
finished 33%
2 of 6 losses
Dustin Jacoby
70% finish rate
KO 7 · Sub 0
can finish?
Uran Satybaldiev
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Dustin Jacoby has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1556 vs 1518, 1 quality wins to 0.

Uran Satybaldiev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1518
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Diyar Nurgozhay
Elo 1464 at fight time
Expected wins
0.9
+0.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1573
1464
Dustin Jacoby blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1556
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Da Woon Jung
Elo 1618 at fight time
Expected wins
8.3
+1.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1500
1502
Notable wins
Corner A recent form
Uran Satybaldiev
Corner B recent form
Dustin Jacoby
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Uran Satybaldiev & Dustin Jacoby on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.