HonestElo
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Wellington Turman

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1477 ±37
LCB 1430
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +21
Last fight
Dec 2, 2023
L by Submission

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jul 13, 2019 — L vs Karl Roberson Δ-28Nov 16, 2019 — W vs Markus Perez Δ+32Aug 8, 2020 — L vs Andrew Sanchez Δ-32Jun 19, 2021 — L vs Bruno Silva Δ-29Aug 28, 2021 — W vs Sam Alvey Δ+35Feb 26, 2022 — W vs Misha Cirkunov Δ+22Nov 12, 2022 — L vs Andre Petroski Δ-12Jun 24, 2023 — L vs Randy Brown Δ-11Dec 2, 2023 — L vs Jared Gooden Δ-20 14031438147315091544 2020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":132.2,"elo":1472,"date":"2019-07-13","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":91,"y":84.1,"elo":1504,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Markus Perez","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":232.3,"y":132.2,"elo":1472,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Andrew Sanchez","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":399.8,"y":175.9,"elo":1443,"date":"2021-06-19","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":437,"y":124.1,"elo":1477,"date":"2021-08-28","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":5,"x":533.7,"y":90.7,"elo":1500,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Misha Cirkunov","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":6,"x":671.4,"y":108.6,"elo":1488,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Andre Petroski","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":790.4,"y":125,"elo":1477,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":155.8,"elo":1456,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Jared Gooden","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 2, 2023 Jared Gooden L -20
Jun 24, 2023 Randy Brown L -11
Nov 12, 2022 Andre Petroski L -12
Feb 26, 2022 Misha Cirkunov W +22
Aug 28, 2021 Sam Alvey W +35

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.97 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.84 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
45% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.43 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
21% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
43% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.71 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1538
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.9
actual -1 vs expected