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Dusko Todorovic "Thunder"

Active #65 middleweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Aug 1
vs Robert Valentin · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1407
Global Elo 1453 ±35
Rank
#65
top 91% of division
UFC record
4-6-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Sep 13, 2025
Win by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 10m
Avg fight time
6:57
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
2.0
Ground control
20m
Since last fight
9mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Oct 3, 2020 — W vs Dequan Townsend Δ+25Jan 16, 2021 — L vs Punahele Soriano Δ-32Jun 5, 2021 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-28Dec 4, 2021 — W vs Maki Pitolo Δ+28May 21, 2022 — L vs Chidi Njokuani Δ-29Oct 15, 2022 — W vs Jordan Wright Δ+18Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Christian Leroy Duncan Δ-17Nov 9, 2024 — L vs Mansur Abdul-Malik Δ-16May 31, 2025 — L vs Zach Reese Δ-14Sep 13, 2025 — W vs Jose Daniel Medina Δ+19 1350137514001425145014751500 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":133.5,"elo":1480,"date":"2020-10-03","opp":"Dequan Townsend","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":1,"x":131.9,"y":202.9,"elo":1447,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Punahele Soriano","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":2,"x":187.7,"y":263,"elo":1419,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":260.2,"y":202.4,"elo":1447,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Maki Pitolo","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":327.2,"y":264.7,"elo":1418,"date":"2022-05-21","opp":"Chidi Njokuani","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":385.8,"y":226.1,"elo":1436,"date":"2022-10-15","opp":"Jordan Wright","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":447.2,"y":263.2,"elo":1419,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Christian Leroy Duncan","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":687.2,"y":298.4,"elo":1402,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Mansur Abdul-Malik","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":768.1,"y":328.3,"elo":1388,"date":"2025-05-31","opp":"Zach Reese","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":288.2,"elo":1407,"date":"2025-09-13","opp":"Jose Daniel Medina","result":"W","delta":19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 13, 2025 Jose Daniel Medina W +19
May 31, 2025 Zach Reese L -14
Nov 9, 2024 Mansur Abdul-Malik L -16
Mar 18, 2023 Christian Leroy Duncan L -17
Oct 15, 2022 Jordan Wright W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
4 / 4
Finish rate
KO
3
75% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 3 (75%) 3 Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
2 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 298 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
51% Distance
  • Distance 51%
  • Clinch 25%
  • Ground 24%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
4 of 6 · usually R1
4 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1478
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jordan Wright
Elo 1459 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.0
−1.0 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1413
1441

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Dusko Todorovic on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.