HonestElo
← middleweight

Roman Kopylov

Active #29 middleweight · age 35 · Southpaw · 6'0" 183 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 75% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1542
Global Elo 1592 ±38
Rank
#29
top 39% of division
UFC record
8-5-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +23
Last fight
Oct 3, 2026
Win by KO · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Nov 9, 2019 — L vs Karl Roberson Δ-30Oct 30, 2021 — L vs Albert Duraev Δ-26Sep 3, 2022 — W vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ+38Jan 14, 2023 — W vs Punahele Soriano Δ+38Jul 29, 2023 — W vs Claudio Ribeiro Δ+32Sep 16, 2023 — W vs Josh Fremd Δ+16Feb 17, 2024 — L vs Anthony Hernandez Δ-18Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Cesar Almeida Δ+15Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Chris Curtis Δ+20Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Paulo Costa Δ-15Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-14May 9, 2026 — W vs Marco Tulio Δ+15Oct 3, 2026 — W vs Ateba Gautier Δ+21 135014001450150015501600 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":319.4,"elo":1421,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":296,"y":353.2,"elo":1394,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Albert Duraev","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":384,"y":304.9,"elo":1432,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":3,"x":422,"y":255.9,"elo":1470,"date":"2023-01-14","opp":"Punahele Soriano","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":478,"y":215.6,"elo":1502,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Claudio Ribeiro","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":492,"y":195.3,"elo":1518,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Josh Fremd","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":536,"y":218.4,"elo":1500,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Anthony Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":566,"y":198.8,"elo":1515,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Cesar Almeida","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":630,"y":173.5,"elo":1535,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":684,"y":192.5,"elo":1520,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Paulo Costa","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":718,"y":210.1,"elo":1506,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":768,"y":191.1,"elo":1521,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"Marco Tulio","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":163.7,"elo":1542,"date":"2026-10-03","opp":"Ateba Gautier","result":"W","delta":21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 3, 2026 Ateba Gautier W +21
May 9, 2026 Marco Tulio W +15
Nov 15, 2025 Gregory Rodrigues L -14
Jul 19, 2025 Paulo Costa L -15
Jan 11, 2025 Chris Curtis W +20
4 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×3
  • Fight of the Night ×1
$250,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Roman Kopylov has earned 4. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
6
75% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 6 (75%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
1 17%
R2
3 50%
R3
2 33%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 687 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 5%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
40%
of losses by finish
2 of 5
0 KO/TKO 2 Sub 3 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1595
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ateba Gautier
Elo 1629 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.2
+1.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1537
1629
Notable wins
Ateba Gautier 1629
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 30m
Avg fight time
11:34
Fights per year
1.9
Since last fight
14d
Bonuses
4
vs Compare Roman Kopylov with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1709
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Kamaru Usman
#3 · Elo 1672
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1671
Sean Strickland C
#5 · Elo 1657
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Roman Kopylov on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.