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Roman Kopylov

Active #40 middleweight · Southpaw · 183 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1556 ±36
LCB 1509
Rank
#40
top 49% of division
UFC record
6-5-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -29
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Nov 9, 2019 — L vs Karl Roberson Δ-30Oct 30, 2021 — L vs Albert Duraev Δ-26Sep 3, 2022 — W vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ+38Jan 14, 2023 — W vs Punahele Soriano Δ+38Jul 29, 2023 — W vs Claudio Ribeiro Δ+32Sep 16, 2023 — W vs Josh Fremd Δ+16Feb 17, 2024 — L vs Anthony Hernandez Δ-18Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Cesar Almeida Δ+15Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Chris Curtis Δ+20Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Paulo Costa Δ-15Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-14 14041459151415691624 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":172.2,"elo":1470,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":303.5,"y":197.5,"elo":1444,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Albert Duraev","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":422.9,"y":161.3,"elo":1482,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":3,"x":474.4,"y":124.5,"elo":1520,"date":"2023-01-14","opp":"Punahele Soriano","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":550.4,"y":94.2,"elo":1552,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Claudio Ribeiro","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":569.4,"y":78.9,"elo":1567,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Josh Fremd","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":629.1,"y":96.3,"elo":1549,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Anthony Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":669.8,"y":81.5,"elo":1565,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Cesar Almeida","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":756.6,"y":62.5,"elo":1584,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":829.9,"y":76.8,"elo":1570,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Paulo Costa","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":90,"elo":1556,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Gregory Rodrigues L -14
Jul 19, 2025 Paulo Costa L -15
Jan 11, 2025 Chris Curtis W +20
Jun 1, 2024 Cesar Almeida W +15
Feb 17, 2024 Anthony Hernandez L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.19 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.72 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.03 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
89% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
83%
5 / 6
Finish rate
KO
5
83% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
17% of wins
KO: 5 (83%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (17%) 1
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
R2
3 60%
R3
2 40%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1586
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.2
actual +1 vs expected