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Brandon Moreno vs Charles Johnson — Honest Elo matchup

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 4

Notable

Moreno

7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Moreno

Title-fight record 3–2.

Tale of the tape

12-7-2 UFC record 9-7-0
KO 3 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 1
+1 Streak +1
32 Age 35
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'9" 175 cm
70" 178 cm Reach 70" 178 cm
Orthodox Stance Switch
1614 Global Elo 1539
1562 Elo rating 1493
Brandon Moreno — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Charles Johnson — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights

Brandon Moreno — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1375 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 7%

Charles Johnson — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 934 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 4%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.86
4.60
div avg 3.96
44%
50%
div avg 47%
3.69
3.93
div avg 3.36
60%
56%
div avg 56%
1.39
0.44
div avg 1.57
41%
15%
div avg 38%
67%
67%
div avg 64%
0.38
0.44
div avg 0.78
3
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Brandon Moreno
50% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 3
can finish?
Charles Johnson
finished 29%
2 of 7 losses
Charles Johnson
44% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 1
can finish?
Brandon Moreno
finished 14%
1 of 7 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Brandon Moreno has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1576 vs 1544, 6 quality wins to 0.

Brandon Moreno red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1576
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
6
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Deiveson Figueiredo
Elo 1683 at fight time
Expected wins
10.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 21 fights
1615
1549
Charles Johnson blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1544
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Joshua Van
Elo 1577 at fight time
Expected wins
7.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1533
1500

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R2
    Feb 28, 2026
    Aug 23, 2025
Corner A recent form
Brandon Moreno
Corner B recent form
Charles Johnson
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Brandon Moreno & Charles Johnson on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.