HonestElo
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Dustin Ortiz

Inactive · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 165 cm
Elo rating
1554 ±37
LCB 1506
Rank
UFC record
8-6-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Jan 19, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Jose Maria Δ+30Jan 15, 2014 — L vs John Moraga Δ-29Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Ray Borg Δ+29Jul 6, 2014 — W vs Justin Scoggins Δ+31Nov 22, 2014 — L vs Joseph Benavidez Δ-26Aug 8, 2015 — W vs Willie Gates Δ+17Jan 30, 2016 — L vs Wilson Reis Δ-17Sep 24, 2016 — L vs Jussier Formiga Δ-15Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Zach Makovsky Δ+16Apr 22, 2017 — L vs Brandon Moreno Δ-16Aug 5, 2017 — W vs Hector Sandoval Δ+19Jan 20, 2018 — W vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ+17Jul 28, 2018 — W vs Matheus Nicolau Δ+20Jan 19, 2019 — L vs Joseph Benavidez Δ-12 14621500153815771615 201420152016201720182019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":141.1,"elo":1530,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Jose Maria","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":54.1,"y":180.7,"elo":1502,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"John Moraga","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":96.3,"y":141.1,"elo":1530,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Ray Borg","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":131.3,"y":98.8,"elo":1561,"date":"2014-07-06","opp":"Justin Scoggins","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":193.8,"y":135.1,"elo":1535,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Joseph Benavidez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":5,"x":310.1,"y":112,"elo":1551,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Willie Gates","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":388.7,"y":135.5,"elo":1534,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Wilson Reis","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":495.6,"y":156.7,"elo":1519,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Jussier Formiga","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":8,"x":530.2,"y":134.8,"elo":1535,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Zach Makovsky","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":589.9,"y":157.6,"elo":1518,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":637.1,"y":131.1,"elo":1537,"date":"2017-08-05","opp":"Hector Sandoval","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":712.5,"y":107.5,"elo":1555,"date":"2018-01-20","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":797.4,"y":79.3,"elo":1575,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":96.6,"elo":1562,"date":"2019-01-19","opp":"Joseph Benavidez","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 19, 2019 Joseph Benavidez L -12
Jul 28, 2018 Matheus Nicolau W +20
Jan 20, 2018 Alexandre Pantoja W +17
Aug 5, 2017 Hector Sandoval W +19
Apr 22, 2017 Brandon Moreno L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.77 avg 3.37
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.04 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.84 avg 1.57
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
53% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.08 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
4
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 4 (50%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1582
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.8
actual +1 vs expected