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Maycee Barber vs Carli Judice — Honest Elo matchup

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 4

Notable

Judice

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Tale of the tape

10-3-0 UFC record 4-1-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +4
28 Age 27
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 68" 173 cm
Switch Stance Southpaw
1619 Global Elo 1588
1586 Elo rating 1546
Maycee Barber — Notable ▼
At a glance
Carli Judice — Notable ▼
At a glance

Maycee Barber — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 635 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
48% Distance
  • Distance 48%
  • Clinch 33%
  • Ground 20%

Carli Judice — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 390 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 2%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.25
8.70
div avg 4.16
51%
48%
div avg 45%
2.70
4.71
div avg 3.71
58%
60%
div avg 56%
1.51
0.67
div avg 1.37
47%
50%
div avg 38%
48%
83%
div avg 65%
0.10
0.00
div avg 0.39
3
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Maycee Barber
40% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Carli Judice
finished 0%
never finished
Carli Judice
75% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Maycee Barber
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Maycee Barber has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1582 vs 1486, 1 quality wins to 0.

Maycee Barber red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1582
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Katlyn Cerminara
Elo 1610 at fight time
Expected wins
7.0
+3.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1500
1585
Carli Judice blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1486
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jeisla Chaves
Elo 1526 at fight time
Expected wins
2.7
+1.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1442
1526
Corner A recent form
Maycee Barber
Corner B recent form
Carli Judice
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Maycee Barber & Carli Judice on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.