← Back to event card

Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal — Honest Elo matchup

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Other fights on this card · 4

Notable

Pyfer

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Pyfer

Finishes 86% of wins (4 KO · 2 SUB; 43% of wins end in round 1).

Nickal

Finishes 83% of wins (3 KO · 2 SUB; 50% of wins end in round 1).

Pyfer

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

7-1-0 UFC record 6-1-0
KO 4 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 2
+4 Streak +2
30 Age 30
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'1" 185 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 76" 193 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1649 Global Elo 1607
1615 Elo rating 1573
Joe Pyfer — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
Bo Nickal — Notable ▼
At a glance

Joe Pyfer — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 253 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 13%

Bo Nickal — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 171 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 12%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.53
3.35
div avg 4.55
43%
62%
div avg 52%
3.33
2.00
div avg 3.30
53%
60%
div avg 54%
1.25
2.35
div avg 1.53
25%
50%
div avg 44%
67%
100%
div avg 75%
0.84
1.47
div avg 0.46
2
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Joe Pyfer
86% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 2
can finish?
Bo Nickal
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Bo Nickal
83% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 2
can finish?
Joe Pyfer
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Joe Pyfer has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1596 vs 1537, 2 quality wins to 0.

Joe Pyfer red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1596
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Israel Adesanya
Elo 1681 at fight time
Expected wins
4.1
+2.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1406
1681
Bo Nickal blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1537
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rodolfo Vieira
Elo 1560 at fight time
Expected wins
4.0
+2.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1449
1517
Corner A recent form
Joe Pyfer
Corner B recent form
Bo Nickal
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Joe Pyfer & Bo Nickal on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.