HonestElo
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Kurt Holobaugh

Active #101 lightweight · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1418 ±32
LCB 1376
Rank
#101
top 100% of division
UFC record
2-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -13
Last fight
May 31, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Apr 27, 2013 — L vs Steven Siler Δ-24Jul 14, 2018 — L vs Raoni Barcelos Δ-31Nov 3, 2018 — L vs Shane Burgos Δ-24May 11, 2019 — L vs Thiago Moises Δ-24Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Austin Hubbard Δ+41Mar 23, 2024 — L vs Trey Ogden Δ-14Jul 20, 2024 — W vs Kaynan Kruschewsky Δ+18Mar 15, 2025 — L vs Alexander Hernandez Δ-12May 31, 2025 — L vs Jordan Leavitt Δ-13 13581397143714771516 201520172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":77.5,"elo":1476,"date":"2013-04-27","opp":"Steven Siler","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":1,"x":391.3,"y":118.8,"elo":1445,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Raoni Barcelos","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":412.9,"y":150.4,"elo":1422,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Shane Burgos","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":449.3,"y":182.5,"elo":1398,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Thiago Moises","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":750.4,"y":127.3,"elo":1439,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Austin Hubbard","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":5,"x":792.3,"y":146.3,"elo":1425,"date":"2024-03-23","opp":"Trey Ogden","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":815.2,"y":121.9,"elo":1443,"date":"2024-07-20","opp":"Kaynan Kruschewsky","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":861.1,"y":137.7,"elo":1431,"date":"2025-03-15","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":155.6,"elo":1418,"date":"2025-05-31","opp":"Jordan Leavitt","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 31, 2025 Jordan Leavitt L -13
Mar 15, 2025 Alexander Hernandez L -12
Jul 20, 2024 Kaynan Kruschewsky W +18
Mar 23, 2024 Trey Ogden L -14
Aug 19, 2023 Austin Hubbard W +41

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.15 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.03 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.68 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
36% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.68 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.6
actual -2 vs expected