HonestElo
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Josh Koscheck

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1561 ±33
LCB 1518
Rank
—
—
UFC record
15-10-0
KO 6 · Sub 3 · Dec 6
Streak
-5
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Mar 21, 2015
L by Submission

Elo history

25 fights · tap & drag
Apr 9, 2005 — W vs Chris Sanford Δ+33Aug 6, 2005 — W vs Pete Spratt Δ+33Oct 3, 2005 — L vs Drew Fickett Δ-39Apr 6, 2006 — W vs Ansar Chalangov Δ+27Jun 28, 2006 — W vs Dave Menne Δ+23Aug 17, 2006 — W vs Jonathan Goulet Δ+16Dec 13, 2006 — W vs Jeff Joslin Δ+12Apr 7, 2007 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+19Aug 25, 2007 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-16Mar 1, 2008 — W vs Dustin Hazelett Δ+16Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Chris Lytle Δ+10Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Thiago Alves Δ-16Dec 10, 2008 — W vs Yoshiyuki Yoshida Δ+14Feb 21, 2009 — L vs Paulo Thiago Δ-25Sep 19, 2009 — W vs Frank Trigg Δ+12Nov 21, 2009 — W vs Anthony Johnson Δ+16May 8, 2010 — W vs Paul Daley Δ+14Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-14Sep 24, 2011 — W vs Matt Hughes Δ+20Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Mike Pierce Δ+13May 5, 2012 — L vs Johny Hendricks Δ-17Feb 23, 2013 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-25Nov 16, 2013 — L vs Tyron Woodley Δ-25Feb 28, 2015 — L vs Jake Ellenberger Δ-19Mar 21, 2015 — L vs Erick Silva Δ-19 14881542159716511706 20072009201120132015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":191.9,"elo":1533,"date":"2005-04-09","opp":"Chris Sanford","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":51.9,"y":159.4,"elo":1567,"date":"2005-08-06","opp":"Pete Spratt","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":65.5,"y":197.1,"elo":1528,"date":"2005-10-03","opp":"Drew Fickett","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":3,"x":108.9,"y":170.8,"elo":1555,"date":"2006-04-06","opp":"Ansar Chalangov","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":128.4,"y":148.7,"elo":1578,"date":"2006-06-28","opp":"Dave Menne","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":5,"x":140.1,"y":133.5,"elo":1593,"date":"2006-08-17","opp":"Jonathan Goulet","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":167.8,"y":122.1,"elo":1605,"date":"2006-12-13","opp":"Jeff Joslin","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":7,"x":194.7,"y":104.1,"elo":1623,"date":"2007-04-07","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":227.6,"y":119.9,"elo":1607,"date":"2007-08-25","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":271.9,"y":104.3,"elo":1623,"date":"2008-03-01","opp":"Dustin Hazelett","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":301.4,"y":95,"elo":1633,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Chris Lytle","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":11,"x":327.7,"y":111.1,"elo":1616,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":338.5,"y":97.3,"elo":1630,"date":"2008-12-10","opp":"Yoshiyuki Yoshida","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":13,"x":355.6,"y":121.6,"elo":1605,"date":"2009-02-21","opp":"Paulo Thiago","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":14,"x":404.9,"y":109.5,"elo":1618,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Frank Trigg","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":15,"x":419.6,"y":94.4,"elo":1633,"date":"2009-11-21","opp":"Anthony Johnson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":459,"y":81.3,"elo":1647,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Paul Daley","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":17,"x":509.9,"y":95.2,"elo":1633,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":18,"x":577.2,"y":75.9,"elo":1652,"date":"2011-09-24","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":19,"x":608.4,"y":62.9,"elo":1666,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Mike Pierce","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":20,"x":629.8,"y":79.5,"elo":1649,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":21,"x":698.7,"y":103.5,"elo":1624,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":22,"x":761.1,"y":127.6,"elo":1599,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":23,"x":871.1,"y":146.2,"elo":1580,"date":"2015-02-28","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":24,"x":876,"y":165,"elo":1561,"date":"2015-03-21","opp":"Erick Silva","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2015 Erick Silva L -19
Feb 28, 2015 Jake Ellenberger L -19
Nov 16, 2013 Tyron Woodley L -25
Feb 23, 2013 Robbie Lawler L -25
May 5, 2012 Johny Hendricks L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.65 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.03 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.31 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.40 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
9 / 15
Finish rate
KO
6
40% of wins
SUB
3
20% of wins
DEC
6
40% of wins
KO: 6 (40%) 6 Sub: 3 (20%) 3 Dec: 6 (40%) 6
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
7 78%
R2
2 22%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1562
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
14.1
actual +1 vs expected