HonestElo
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Matt Hughes

Inactive · Switch · 175 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1622 ±35
LCB 1577
Rank
—
—
UFC record
18-7-0
KO 6 · Sub 5 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d -20 · Δ1y -20
Last fight
Sep 24, 2011
L by KO

Elo history

25 fights · tap & drag
Sep 24, 1999 — W vs Valeri Ignatov Δ+26Jun 9, 2000 — W vs Marcelo Aguiar Δ+27Dec 16, 2000 — L vs Dennis Hallman Δ-38Nov 2, 2001 — W vs Carlos Newton Δ+46Mar 22, 2002 — W vs Hayato Sakurai Δ+34Jul 13, 2002 — W vs Carlos Newton Δ+17Nov 22, 2002 — W vs Gil Castillo Δ+14Apr 25, 2003 — W vs Sean Sherk Δ+18Nov 21, 2003 — W vs Frank Trigg Δ+14Jan 31, 2004 — L vs BJ Penn Δ-27Jun 19, 2004 — W vs Renato Verissimo Δ+11Oct 22, 2004 — W vs Georges St-Pierre Δ+18Apr 16, 2005 — W vs Frank Trigg Δ+16Nov 19, 2005 — W vs Joe Riggs Δ+11May 27, 2006 — W vs Royce Gracie Δ+18Sep 23, 2006 — W vs BJ Penn Δ+17Nov 18, 2006 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-30Mar 3, 2007 — W vs Chris Lytle Δ+6Dec 29, 2007 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-27Jun 7, 2008 — L vs Thiago Alves Δ-22May 23, 2009 — W vs Matt Serra Δ+11Apr 10, 2010 — W vs Renzo Gracie Δ+11Aug 7, 2010 — W vs Ricardo Almeida Δ+13Nov 20, 2010 — L vs BJ Penn Δ-21Sep 24, 2011 — L vs Josh Koscheck Δ-20 14751546161816901761 200120032005200720092011 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":197.9,"elo":1526,"date":"1999-09-24","opp":"Valeri Ignatov","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":74.3,"y":178.2,"elo":1553,"date":"2000-06-09","opp":"Marcelo Aguiar","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":111.3,"y":206.4,"elo":1515,"date":"2000-12-16","opp":"Dennis Hallman","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":3,"x":173.7,"y":172.2,"elo":1561,"date":"2001-11-02","opp":"Carlos Newton","result":"W","delta":46},{"i":4,"x":200.9,"y":146.9,"elo":1595,"date":"2002-03-22","opp":"Hayato Sakurai","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":222.9,"y":134.1,"elo":1613,"date":"2002-07-13","opp":"Carlos Newton","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":248.5,"y":124.1,"elo":1626,"date":"2002-11-22","opp":"Gil Castillo","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":278.5,"y":111,"elo":1644,"date":"2003-04-25","opp":"Sean Sherk","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":319.3,"y":100.6,"elo":1658,"date":"2003-11-21","opp":"Frank Trigg","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":333.1,"y":120.6,"elo":1631,"date":"2004-01-31","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":10,"x":360.3,"y":112.2,"elo":1642,"date":"2004-06-19","opp":"Renato Verissimo","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":11,"x":384.6,"y":99,"elo":1660,"date":"2004-10-22","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":418.8,"y":87.5,"elo":1676,"date":"2005-04-16","opp":"Frank Trigg","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":461,"y":79.3,"elo":1687,"date":"2005-11-19","opp":"Joe Riggs","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":14,"x":497.7,"y":65.9,"elo":1705,"date":"2006-05-27","opp":"Royce Gracie","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":15,"x":520.9,"y":53.6,"elo":1721,"date":"2006-09-23","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":531.7,"y":75.5,"elo":1692,"date":"2006-11-18","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":17,"x":552.2,"y":70.7,"elo":1698,"date":"2007-03-03","opp":"Chris Lytle","result":"W","delta":6},{"i":18,"x":610.7,"y":90.8,"elo":1671,"date":"2007-12-29","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":19,"x":642,"y":107.2,"elo":1649,"date":"2008-06-07","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":20,"x":710,"y":99.2,"elo":1660,"date":"2009-05-23","opp":"Matt Serra","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":21,"x":772.6,"y":91.5,"elo":1670,"date":"2010-04-10","opp":"Renzo Gracie","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":22,"x":795.7,"y":82,"elo":1683,"date":"2010-08-07","opp":"Ricardo Almeida","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":23,"x":816.1,"y":97.5,"elo":1662,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":24,"x":876,"y":112.2,"elo":1642,"date":"2011-09-24","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 24, 2011 Josh Koscheck L -20
Nov 20, 2010 BJ Penn L -21
Aug 7, 2010 Ricardo Almeida W +13
Apr 10, 2010 Renzo Gracie W +11
May 23, 2009 Matt Serra W +11

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.08 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
55% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.12 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.76 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
51% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
35% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.94 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
61%
11 / 18
Finish rate
KO
6
33% of wins
SUB
5
28% of wins
DEC
5
28% of wins
KO: 6 (38%) 6 Sub: 5 (31%) 5 Dec: 5 (31%) 5
Finishes by round
13 total
R1
8 62%
R2
1 8%
R3
2 15%
R4
2 15%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1572
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
15.3
actual +3 vs expected