HonestElo
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Chris Lytle

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1554 ±33
LCB 1511
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-10-0
KO 1 · Sub 6 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Aug 14, 2011
W by Submission

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Nov 17, 2000 — L vs Ben Earwood Δ-29Nov 21, 2003 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-23Apr 2, 2004 — W vs Tiki Ghosn Δ+30Aug 21, 2004 — W vs Ronald Jhun Δ+35Feb 5, 2005 — L vs Karo Parisyan Δ-27Oct 7, 2005 — L vs Joe Riggs Δ-15Nov 11, 2006 — L vs Matt Serra Δ-18Mar 3, 2007 — L vs Matt Hughes Δ-6Jul 7, 2007 — W vs Jason Gilliam Δ+19Nov 17, 2007 — L vs Thiago Alves Δ-11Feb 2, 2008 — W vs Kyle Bradley Δ+21Jul 5, 2008 — L vs Josh Koscheck Δ-10Oct 18, 2008 — W vs Paul Taylor Δ+18Jan 17, 2009 — L vs Marcus Davis Δ-10Jun 20, 2009 — W vs Kevin Burns Δ+19Feb 20, 2010 — W vs Brian Foster Δ+19Jul 3, 2010 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+22Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Matt Serra Δ+16Feb 26, 2011 — L vs Brian Ebersole Δ-18Aug 14, 2011 — W vs Dan Hardy Δ+20 14061452149915451591 20022004200620082010 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":161.5,"elo":1471,"date":"2000-11-17","opp":"Ben Earwood","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":262.7,"y":188.3,"elo":1448,"date":"2003-11-21","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":2,"x":291.6,"y":153.9,"elo":1478,"date":"2004-04-02","opp":"Tiki Ghosn","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":322.3,"y":113.4,"elo":1513,"date":"2004-08-21","opp":"Ronald Jhun","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":358.8,"y":144.2,"elo":1486,"date":"2005-02-05","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":411.8,"y":161.7,"elo":1471,"date":"2005-10-07","opp":"Joe Riggs","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":498.7,"y":182.8,"elo":1453,"date":"2006-11-11","opp":"Matt Serra","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":523,"y":190.1,"elo":1446,"date":"2007-03-03","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"L","delta":-6},{"i":8,"x":550.4,"y":168,"elo":1466,"date":"2007-07-07","opp":"Jason Gilliam","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":579.3,"y":181.2,"elo":1454,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":10,"x":596,"y":157.2,"elo":1475,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Kyle Bradley","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":629.4,"y":168.2,"elo":1465,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"L","delta":-10},{"i":12,"x":652.2,"y":147.5,"elo":1483,"date":"2008-10-18","opp":"Paul Taylor","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":672,"y":158.7,"elo":1474,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"L","delta":-10},{"i":14,"x":705.5,"y":137.5,"elo":1492,"date":"2009-06-20","opp":"Kevin Burns","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":15,"x":758.7,"y":115.7,"elo":1511,"date":"2010-02-20","opp":"Brian Foster","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":16,"x":787.6,"y":91,"elo":1533,"date":"2010-07-03","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":17,"x":805.8,"y":72.4,"elo":1549,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Matt Serra","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":18,"x":839.3,"y":93.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2011-02-26","opp":"Brian Ebersole","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":69.9,"elo":1551,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Dan Hardy","result":"W","delta":20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 14, 2011 Dan Hardy W +20
Feb 26, 2011 Brian Ebersole L -18
Sep 25, 2010 Matt Serra W +16
Jul 3, 2010 Matt Brown W +22
Feb 20, 2010 Brian Foster W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.41 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.86 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.56 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
54% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.94 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
7 / 10
Finish rate
KO
1
10% of wins
SUB
6
60% of wins
DEC
3
30% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 6 (60%) 6 Dec: 3 (30%) 3
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1536
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.7
actual +1 vs expected