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Chris Lytle "Lights Out"

Inactive · age 52 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 70% of wins by KO or submission
  • 30% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1512
Global Elo 1553 ±32
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-10-0
KO 1 · Sub 6 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Aug 14, 2011
Win by Submission · R3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Nov 17, 2000 — L vs Ben Earwood Δ-29Nov 21, 2003 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-23Apr 2, 2004 — W vs Tiki Ghosn Δ+30Aug 21, 2004 — W vs Ronald Jhun Δ+35Feb 5, 2005 — L vs Karo Parisyan Δ-27Oct 7, 2005 — L vs Joe Riggs Δ-15Nov 11, 2006 — L vs Matt Serra Δ-18Mar 3, 2007 — L vs Matt Hughes Δ-6Jul 7, 2007 — W vs Jason Gilliam Δ+19Nov 17, 2007 — L vs Thiago Alves Δ-11Feb 2, 2008 — W vs Kyle Bradley Δ+21Jul 5, 2008 — L vs Josh Koscheck Δ-10Oct 18, 2008 — W vs Paul Taylor Δ+18Jan 17, 2009 — L vs Marcus Davis Δ-10Jun 20, 2009 — W vs Kevin Burns Δ+19Feb 20, 2010 — W vs Brian Foster Δ+19Jul 3, 2010 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+22Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Matt Serra Δ+16Feb 26, 2011 — L vs Brian Ebersole Δ-18Aug 14, 2011 — W vs Dan Hardy Δ+20 13751400142514501475150015251550 20022004200620082010 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":306.5,"elo":1432,"date":"2000-11-17","opp":"Ben Earwood","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":291.8,"y":349.3,"elo":1408,"date":"2003-11-21","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":2,"x":316.2,"y":294.4,"elo":1438,"date":"2004-04-02","opp":"Tiki Ghosn","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":342.1,"y":229.9,"elo":1474,"date":"2004-08-21","opp":"Ronald Jhun","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":372.9,"y":278.9,"elo":1447,"date":"2005-02-05","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":417.7,"y":306.9,"elo":1431,"date":"2005-10-07","opp":"Joe Riggs","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":491.1,"y":340.5,"elo":1413,"date":"2006-11-11","opp":"Matt Serra","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":511.7,"y":352.2,"elo":1407,"date":"2007-03-03","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"L","delta":-6},{"i":8,"x":534.8,"y":316.9,"elo":1426,"date":"2007-07-07","opp":"Jason Gilliam","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":559.2,"y":338,"elo":1414,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":10,"x":573.4,"y":299.7,"elo":1435,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Kyle Bradley","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":601.6,"y":317.3,"elo":1426,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"L","delta":-10},{"i":12,"x":620.9,"y":284.2,"elo":1444,"date":"2008-10-18","opp":"Paul Taylor","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":637.6,"y":301.9,"elo":1434,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"L","delta":-10},{"i":14,"x":665.9,"y":268.3,"elo":1453,"date":"2009-06-20","opp":"Kevin Burns","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":15,"x":710.9,"y":233.5,"elo":1472,"date":"2010-02-20","opp":"Brian Foster","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":16,"x":735.3,"y":194.2,"elo":1493,"date":"2010-07-03","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":17,"x":750.7,"y":164.4,"elo":1509,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Matt Serra","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":18,"x":779,"y":197.9,"elo":1491,"date":"2011-02-26","opp":"Brian Ebersole","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":810,"y":160.4,"elo":1512,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Dan Hardy","result":"W","delta":20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 14, 2011 Dan Hardy W +20
Feb 26, 2011 Brian Ebersole L -18
Sep 25, 2010 Matt Serra W +16
Jul 3, 2010 Matt Brown W +22
Feb 20, 2010 Brian Foster W +19
10 post-fight bonuses
  • Fight of the Night ×6
  • Submission of the Night ×3
  • Knockout of the Night ×1

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Chris Lytle has earned 10.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
7 / 10
Finish rate
KO
1
10% of wins
SUB
6
60% of wins
DEC
3
30% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 6 (60%) 6 Dec: 3 (30%) 3
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 818 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 3%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
20%
of losses by finish
2 of 10 · usually R2
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 8 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1536
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Matt Brown
Elo 1569 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.7
+1.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 20 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1569
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 36m
Avg fight time
10:48
Fights per year
1.9
Since last fight
15y
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
10
vs Compare Chris Lytle with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1814
Max Holloway
#2 · Elo 1690
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1675
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Chris Lytle on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.