HonestElo
← welterweight

William Macario

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1461 ±37
LCB 1414
Rank
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +34 · Δ1y +34
Last fight
Feb 22, 2015
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jun 8, 2013 — L vs Leonardo Santos Δ-41Dec 28, 2013 — W vs Bobby Voelker Δ+27Oct 25, 2014 — L vs Neil Magny Δ-26Feb 22, 2015 — L vs Matt Dwyer Δ-32 13881422145714911526 20142015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":127.2,"elo":1459,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Leonardo Santos","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":1,"x":301.2,"y":85.4,"elo":1486,"date":"2013-12-28","opp":"Bobby Voelker","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":712.2,"y":124.9,"elo":1460,"date":"2014-10-25","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":174.6,"elo":1428,"date":"2015-02-22","opp":"Matt Dwyer","result":"L","delta":-32}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 22, 2015 Matt Dwyer L -32
Oct 25, 2014 Neil Magny L -26
Dec 28, 2013 Bobby Voelker W +27
Jun 8, 2013 Leonardo Santos L -41

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.44 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
55% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.58 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
66% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.67 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
45% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
79% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1493
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual -1 vs expected