HonestElo
← welterweight

Tarec Saffiedine

Inactive · Switch · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1513 ±36
LCB 1466
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Jun 17, 2017
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jan 4, 2014 — W vs Hyun Gyu Lim Δ+34Oct 4, 2014 — L vs Rory MacDonald Δ-23Jan 30, 2016 — W vs Jake Ellenberger Δ+35May 29, 2016 — L vs Rick Story Δ-23Dec 30, 2016 — L vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ-17Jun 17, 2017 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-10 14561489152215541587 201520162017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":109,"elo":1534,"date":"2014-01-04","opp":"Hyun Gyu Lim","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":208.6,"y":146,"elo":1512,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Rory MacDonald","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":2,"x":535.2,"y":89.1,"elo":1547,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":616.3,"y":126.9,"elo":1523,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Rick Story","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":4,"x":761.7,"y":155.2,"elo":1506,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":170.9,"elo":1496,"date":"2017-06-17","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-10}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 17, 2017 Rafael Dos Anjos L -10
Dec 30, 2016 Dong Hyun Kim L -17
May 29, 2016 Rick Story L -23
Jan 30, 2016 Jake Ellenberger W +35
Oct 4, 2014 Rory MacDonald L -23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.60 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.74 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.60 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
81% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.15 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1634
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.1
actual 0 vs expected