HonestElo
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Trevor Smith

Inactive · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1494 ±33
LCB 1450
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-3
Δ90d +17 · Δ1y +17
Last fight
Dec 7, 2019
L by KO

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Ed Herman Δ-24Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Brian Houston Δ+28Apr 11, 2014 — L vs Thales Leites Δ-24Jul 19, 2014 — W vs Tor Troeng Δ+31Nov 8, 2014 — L vs Caio Magalhaes Δ-28Jul 12, 2015 — W vs Dan Miller Δ+17Aug 6, 2016 — W vs Joseph Gigliotti Δ+16Dec 9, 2016 — L vs Andrew Sanchez Δ-15May 28, 2017 — W vs Chris Camozzi Δ+16May 27, 2018 — L vs Elias Theodorou Δ-12Dec 15, 2018 — L vs Zak Cummings Δ-12Dec 7, 2019 — L vs Makhmud Muradov Δ-16 14361467149715271558 201420152016201720182019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":166.3,"elo":1476,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":1,"x":87.1,"y":117,"elo":1505,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Brian Houston","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":118.6,"y":158.5,"elo":1481,"date":"2014-04-11","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":154.9,"y":105,"elo":1511,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Tor Troeng","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":195.9,"y":153.8,"elo":1483,"date":"2014-11-08","opp":"Caio Magalhaes","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":286.1,"y":123.6,"elo":1501,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Dan Miller","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":429.5,"y":95.8,"elo":1517,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Joseph Gigliotti","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":475.3,"y":122.1,"elo":1502,"date":"2016-12-09","opp":"Andrew Sanchez","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":8,"x":537.6,"y":93.7,"elo":1518,"date":"2017-05-28","opp":"Chris Camozzi","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":671.1,"y":114.8,"elo":1506,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":10,"x":745.1,"y":136.5,"elo":1493,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Zak Cummings","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":165.1,"elo":1477,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Makhmud Muradov","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2019 Makhmud Muradov L -16
Dec 15, 2018 Zak Cummings L -12
May 27, 2018 Elias Theodorou L -12
May 28, 2017 Chris Camozzi W +16
Dec 9, 2016 Andrew Sanchez L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.24 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
56% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.07 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.50 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
68% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.56 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 5
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (100%) 5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1553
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.3
actual 0 vs expected