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Trevor Smith "Hot Sauce"

Inactive · age 45 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • UFC veteran since 2013
Elo rating
1446
Global Elo 1493 ±36
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-3
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Dec 7, 2019
Loss by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 30m
Avg fight time
12:32
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.9
Ground control
57m
Since last fight
6y 7mo

Honest Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Ed Herman Δ-24Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Brian Houston Δ+28Apr 11, 2014 — L vs Thales Leites Δ-24Jul 19, 2014 — W vs Tor Troeng Δ+31Nov 8, 2014 — L vs Caio Magalhaes Δ-28Jul 12, 2015 — W vs Dan Miller Δ+17Aug 6, 2016 — W vs Joseph Gigliotti Δ+16Dec 9, 2016 — L vs Andrew Sanchez Δ-15May 28, 2017 — W vs Chris Camozzi Δ+16May 27, 2018 — L vs Elias Theodorou Δ-12Dec 15, 2018 — L vs Zak Cummings Δ-12Dec 7, 2019 — L vs Makhmud Muradov Δ-16 142014401460148015001520 201420152016201720182019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":329.7,"elo":1445,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":1,"x":143.3,"y":239.1,"elo":1473,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Brian Houston","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":169.9,"y":315.3,"elo":1450,"date":"2014-04-11","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":200.6,"y":217,"elo":1480,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Tor Troeng","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":235.3,"y":306.6,"elo":1452,"date":"2014-11-08","opp":"Caio Magalhaes","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":311.5,"y":251.3,"elo":1470,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Dan Miller","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":432.7,"y":200.1,"elo":1486,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Joseph Gigliotti","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":471.4,"y":248.4,"elo":1470,"date":"2016-12-09","opp":"Andrew Sanchez","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":8,"x":524,"y":196.2,"elo":1487,"date":"2017-05-28","opp":"Chris Camozzi","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":636.8,"y":235,"elo":1475,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":10,"x":699.4,"y":275,"elo":1462,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Zak Cummings","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":11,"x":810,"y":327.4,"elo":1446,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Makhmud Muradov","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2019 Makhmud Muradov L -16
Dec 15, 2018 Zak Cummings L -12
May 27, 2018 Elias Theodorou L -12
May 28, 2017 Chris Camozzi W +16
Dec 9, 2016 Andrew Sanchez L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 5
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (100%) 5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 518 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
54% Head
  • Head 54%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
53% Distance
  • Distance 53%
  • Clinch 25%
  • Ground 23%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
43%
of losses by finish
3 of 7 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1553
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Dan Miller
Elo 1511 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.3
−0.3 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 12 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1561
1530

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Trevor Smith on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.