HonestElo
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CB Dollaway

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1528 ±39
LCB 1478
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-9-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Sep 15, 2018
L by KO

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Jun 21, 2008 — L vs Amir Sadollah Δ-41Jul 19, 2008 — W vs Jesse Taylor Δ+37Dec 27, 2008 — W vs Mike Massenzio Δ+37Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Tom Lawlor Δ-33Sep 16, 2009 — W vs Jay Silva Δ+29Feb 20, 2010 — W vs Goran Reljic Δ+17Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Joe Doerksen Δ+13Mar 3, 2011 — L vs Mark Munoz Δ-18Aug 14, 2011 — L vs Jared Hamman Δ-22May 26, 2012 — W vs Jason Miller Δ+13Jan 19, 2013 — W vs Daniel Sarafian Δ+15Oct 19, 2013 — L vs Tim Boetsch Δ-15Mar 23, 2014 — W vs Cezar Ferreira Δ+22May 31, 2014 — W vs Francis Carmont Δ+20Dec 20, 2014 — L vs Lyoto Machida Δ-13Apr 25, 2015 — L vs Michael Bisping Δ-13Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Nate Marquardt Δ-17Jul 7, 2017 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+17Sep 15, 2018 — L vs Khalid Murtazaliev Δ-21 14191467151515631611 20102012201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":191.8,"elo":1459,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Amir Sadollah","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":1,"x":30.4,"y":151,"elo":1496,"date":"2008-07-19","opp":"Jesse Taylor","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":67.1,"y":110.2,"elo":1533,"date":"2008-12-27","opp":"Mike Massenzio","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":111.8,"y":147.1,"elo":1499,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Tom Lawlor","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":127,"y":115.3,"elo":1528,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Jay Silva","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":162.8,"y":96.9,"elo":1545,"date":"2010-02-20","opp":"Goran Reljic","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":212.3,"y":82.5,"elo":1558,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Joe Doerksen","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":248.5,"y":102.6,"elo":1539,"date":"2011-03-03","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":285.9,"y":127,"elo":1517,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Jared Hamman","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":9,"x":351.1,"y":112.4,"elo":1531,"date":"2012-05-26","opp":"Jason Miller","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":405.3,"y":96.3,"elo":1545,"date":"2013-01-19","opp":"Daniel Sarafian","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":467.6,"y":113.5,"elo":1530,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":502.9,"y":89.7,"elo":1551,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":13,"x":518.6,"y":68.2,"elo":1571,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Francis Carmont","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":14,"x":564.9,"y":83,"elo":1557,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Lyoto Machida","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":15,"x":593.6,"y":97.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":16,"x":647.8,"y":116.6,"elo":1527,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":776.9,"y":97.6,"elo":1544,"date":"2017-07-07","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":120.5,"elo":1523,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Khalid Murtazaliev","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 15, 2018 Khalid Murtazaliev L -21
Jul 7, 2017 Ed Herman W +17
Dec 19, 2015 Nate Marquardt L -17
Apr 25, 2015 Michael Bisping L -13
Dec 20, 2014 Lyoto Machida L -13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.23 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.14 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.08 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.03 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
4 / 10
Finish rate
KO
2
20% of wins
SUB
2
20% of wins
DEC
6
60% of wins
KO: 2 (20%) 2 Sub: 2 (20%) 2 Dec: 6 (60%) 6
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
4 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1581
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.3
actual +1 vs expected