HonestElo
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Tim Boetsch

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1538 ±40
LCB 1486
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-12-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Mar 9, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Feb 2, 2008 — W vs David Heath Δ+33Apr 2, 2008 — L vs Matt Hamill Δ-31Sep 6, 2008 — W vs Michael Patt Δ+33Mar 7, 2009 — L vs Jason Brilz Δ-29Aug 7, 2010 — W vs Todd Brown Δ+28Nov 20, 2010 — L vs Phil Davis Δ-16May 28, 2011 — W vs Kendall Grove Δ+17Sep 24, 2011 — W vs Nick Ring Δ+17Feb 25, 2012 — W vs Yushin Okami Δ+24Jul 21, 2012 — W vs Hector Lombard Δ+13Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Constantinos Philippou Δ-18Jul 6, 2013 — L vs Mark Munoz Δ-15Oct 19, 2013 — W vs CB Dollaway Δ+16Apr 26, 2014 — L vs Luke Rockhold Δ-21Aug 16, 2014 — W vs Brad Tavares Δ+21Jan 31, 2015 — L vs Thales Leites Δ-15Jun 6, 2015 — L vs Dan Henderson Δ-19Jan 17, 2016 — L vs Ed Herman Δ-17Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Josh Samman Δ+21Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Rafael Natal Δ+20Feb 11, 2017 — L vs Jacare Souza Δ-13Jun 25, 2017 — W vs Johny Hendricks Δ+23Apr 14, 2018 — L vs Antonio Carlos Junior Δ-18Mar 9, 2019 — L vs Omari Akhmedov Δ-16 14621503154515861628 20102012201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":145.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"David Heath","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":36.6,"y":184.9,"elo":1502,"date":"2008-04-02","opp":"Matt Hamill","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":69.6,"y":142.7,"elo":1535,"date":"2008-09-06","opp":"Michael Patt","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":107.9,"y":180,"elo":1506,"date":"2009-03-07","opp":"Jason Brilz","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":216.8,"y":143.9,"elo":1534,"date":"2010-08-07","opp":"Todd Brown","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":238.8,"y":164.1,"elo":1518,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Phil Davis","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":278.6,"y":143,"elo":1535,"date":"2011-05-28","opp":"Kendall Grove","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":303.6,"y":121.1,"elo":1552,"date":"2011-09-24","opp":"Nick Ring","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":336,"y":91.1,"elo":1575,"date":"2012-02-25","opp":"Yushin Okami","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":9,"x":366.9,"y":75.1,"elo":1588,"date":"2012-07-21","opp":"Hector Lombard","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":400.7,"y":98.2,"elo":1570,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Constantinos Philippou","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":440.4,"y":116.9,"elo":1555,"date":"2013-07-06","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":462.5,"y":97,"elo":1571,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":502.2,"y":123.8,"elo":1550,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Luke Rockhold","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":14,"x":525.8,"y":97,"elo":1571,"date":"2014-08-16","opp":"Brad Tavares","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":15,"x":561.1,"y":116.1,"elo":1556,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":16,"x":587.6,"y":140.4,"elo":1537,"date":"2015-06-06","opp":"Dan Henderson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":17,"x":634.9,"y":162.8,"elo":1519,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":672.3,"y":136.5,"elo":1540,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Josh Samman","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":19,"x":697.9,"y":111.4,"elo":1560,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Rafael Natal","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":20,"x":717.1,"y":127.8,"elo":1547,"date":"2017-02-11","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":21,"x":745.2,"y":98.2,"elo":1570,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":22,"x":806.8,"y":120.7,"elo":1552,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Antonio Carlos Junior","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":23,"x":876,"y":141.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 9, 2019 Omari Akhmedov L -16
Apr 14, 2018 Antonio Carlos Junior L -18
Jun 25, 2017 Johny Hendricks W +23
Feb 11, 2017 Jacare Souza L -13
Nov 12, 2016 Rafael Natal W +20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.49 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.47 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.24 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
34% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
59% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.65 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
7
58% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
42% of wins
KO: 7 (58%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (42%) 5
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1600
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
11.3
actual +1 vs expected