HonestElo
← light heavyweight

Zak Cummings

Inactive · Southpaw · 183 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1600 ±32
LCB 1559
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
+2
Δ90d -21 · Δ1y -21
Last fight
Apr 15, 2023
W by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Ben Alloway Δ+33May 10, 2014 — W vs Yan Cabral Δ+28Jul 19, 2014 — L vs Gunnar Nelson Δ-31Jul 25, 2015 — W vs Dominique Steele Δ+30Apr 10, 2016 — W vs Nicolas Dalby Δ+26Aug 6, 2016 — L vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Δ-18Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Alexander Yakovlev Δ+15Apr 15, 2017 — W vs Nathan Coy Δ+14May 19, 2018 — L vs Michel Prazeres Δ-16Dec 15, 2018 — W vs Trevor Smith Δ+13May 18, 2019 — W vs Trevin Giles Δ+17Sep 7, 2019 — L vs Omari Akhmedov Δ-18Aug 29, 2020 — W vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ+12Apr 15, 2023 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+15 14911533157616181661 20152017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":182.9,"elo":1533,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Ben Alloway","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":85.8,"y":147.9,"elo":1561,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Yan Cabral","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":102.7,"y":186.2,"elo":1531,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":192.6,"y":148.7,"elo":1561,"date":"2015-07-25","opp":"Dominique Steele","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":255.6,"y":116.2,"elo":1587,"date":"2016-04-10","opp":"Nicolas Dalby","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":284.2,"y":138.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":309.6,"y":118.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Alexander Yakovlev","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":345.2,"y":101.8,"elo":1599,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Nathan Coy","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":441.9,"y":121.2,"elo":1583,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Michel Prazeres","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":492.8,"y":105.6,"elo":1595,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Trevor Smith","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":530.1,"y":84.8,"elo":1612,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Trevin Giles","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":557.2,"y":107.6,"elo":1594,"date":"2019-09-07","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":643.7,"y":93,"elo":1606,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":73.8,"elo":1621,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 15, 2023 Ed Herman W +15
Aug 29, 2020 Alessio Di Chirico W +12
Sep 7, 2019 Omari Akhmedov L -18
May 18, 2019 Trevin Giles W +17
Dec 15, 2018 Trevor Smith W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.91 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.64 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.62 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
32% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.62 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
6 / 10
Finish rate
KO
2
20% of wins
SUB
4
40% of wins
DEC
4
40% of wins
KO: 2 (20%) 2 Sub: 4 (40%) 4 Dec: 4 (40%) 4
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
3 50%
R2
1 17%
R3
2 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1536
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.8
actual +2 vs expected