HonestElo
← welterweight

Aaron Simpson

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1553 ±36
LCB 1506
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Oct 5, 2012
L by KO

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Apr 1, 2009 — W vs Tim McKenzie Δ+33Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+32Jan 11, 2010 — W vs Tom Lawlor Δ+29Jun 19, 2010 — L vs Chris Leben Δ-35Nov 20, 2010 — L vs Mark Munoz Δ-30Mar 26, 2011 — W vs Mario Miranda Δ+14Jul 2, 2011 — W vs Brad Tavares Δ+17Oct 8, 2011 — W vs Eric Schafer Δ+14Feb 15, 2012 — L vs Ronny Markes Δ-18Jul 11, 2012 — W vs Kenny Robertson Δ+12Oct 5, 2012 — L vs Mike Pierce Δ-17 14891525156115971633 201020112012 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":170.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2009-04-01","opp":"Tim McKenzie","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":123.6,"y":124.4,"elo":1565,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":213.3,"y":82.6,"elo":1593,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Tom Lawlor","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":318.8,"y":133.8,"elo":1558,"date":"2010-06-19","opp":"Chris Leben","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":4,"x":421.1,"y":177.4,"elo":1529,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":504.8,"y":156.5,"elo":1543,"date":"2011-03-26","opp":"Mario Miranda","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":569.9,"y":132.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Brad Tavares","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":634.9,"y":112.3,"elo":1573,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Eric Schafer","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":721.3,"y":138.6,"elo":1555,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"Ronny Markes","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":818.9,"y":120.6,"elo":1567,"date":"2012-07-11","opp":"Kenny Robertson","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":145.5,"elo":1550,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Mike Pierce","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 5, 2012 Mike Pierce L -17
Jul 11, 2012 Kenny Robertson W +12
Feb 15, 2012 Ronny Markes L -18
Oct 8, 2011 Eric Schafer W +14
Jul 2, 2011 Brad Tavares W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.24 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.29 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.43 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
83% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.43 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (71%) 5
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1532
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.8
actual +1 vs expected