HonestElo
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Mike Rodriguez

Inactive · Southpaw · 193 cm · reach 208 cm
Elo rating
1469 ±34
LCB 1425
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +22 · Δ1y +22
Last fight
Sep 18, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Apr 7, 2018 — L vs Devin Clark Δ-30Dec 15, 2018 — W vs Adam Milstead Δ+36Dec 21, 2019 — L vs Da Woon Jung Δ-31Aug 22, 2020 — W vs Marcin Prachnio Δ+30Sep 12, 2020 — L vs Ed Herman Δ-29Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Danilo Marques Δ-16Sep 18, 2021 — L vs Tafon Nchukwi Δ-14 14071442147715121547 201920202021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":139.4,"elo":1470,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":194.4,"y":84.6,"elo":1507,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Adam Milstead","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":445.3,"y":130.8,"elo":1476,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Da Woon Jung","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":610.9,"y":85.8,"elo":1506,"date":"2020-08-22","opp":"Marcin Prachnio","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":625.1,"y":129.5,"elo":1477,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":724.5,"y":153.8,"elo":1461,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Danilo Marques","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":175.4,"elo":1447,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Tafon Nchukwi","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 18, 2021 Tafon Nchukwi L -14
Feb 6, 2021 Danilo Marques L -16
Sep 12, 2020 Ed Herman L -29
Aug 22, 2020 Marcin Prachnio W +30
Dec 21, 2019 Da Woon Jung L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.63 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
59% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.77 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
37% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
36% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1509
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.3
actual -1 vs expected