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Alan Belcher

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1570 ±37
LCB 1523
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-6-0
KO 4 · Sub 3 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d -9 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Apr 27, 2013
L by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Aug 26, 2006 — L vs Yushin Okami Δ-29Dec 13, 2006 — W vs Jorge Santiago Δ+36Apr 7, 2007 — L vs Kendall Grove Δ-28May 26, 2007 — W vs Sean Salmon Δ+33Oct 20, 2007 — W vs Kalib Starnes Δ+31Apr 19, 2008 — L vs Jason Day Δ-21Sep 17, 2008 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+16Jan 17, 2009 — W vs Denis Kang Δ+16Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Yoshihiro Akiyama Δ-18Dec 12, 2009 — W vs Wilson Gouveia Δ+21May 8, 2010 — W vs Patrick Cote Δ+15Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Jason MacDonald Δ+16May 5, 2012 — W vs Rousimar Palhares Δ+20Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Yushin Okami Δ-14Apr 27, 2013 — L vs Michael Bisping Δ-14 14311485154015941648 200820102012 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":196.9,"elo":1471,"date":"2006-08-26","opp":"Yushin Okami","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":62.1,"y":161.4,"elo":1508,"date":"2006-12-13","opp":"Jorge Santiago","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":102.3,"y":188.4,"elo":1480,"date":"2007-04-07","opp":"Kendall Grove","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":119.5,"y":156.2,"elo":1513,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"Sean Salmon","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":170.9,"y":126.2,"elo":1544,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Kalib Starnes","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":234.6,"y":146.4,"elo":1523,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Jason Day","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":287.4,"y":131.2,"elo":1538,"date":"2008-09-17","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":330,"y":115.1,"elo":1555,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Denis Kang","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":391.2,"y":133.2,"elo":1536,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Yoshihiro Akiyama","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":445.1,"y":112.6,"elo":1557,"date":"2009-12-12","opp":"Wilson Gouveia","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":496.5,"y":98.3,"elo":1572,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":670.3,"y":82.9,"elo":1588,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Jason MacDonald","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":751.1,"y":63.1,"elo":1608,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Rousimar Palhares","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":834.4,"y":77.4,"elo":1593,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Yushin Okami","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":91.6,"elo":1579,"date":"2013-04-27","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 27, 2013 Michael Bisping L -14
Dec 29, 2012 Yushin Okami L -14
May 5, 2012 Rousimar Palhares W +20
Sep 17, 2011 Jason MacDonald W +16
May 8, 2010 Patrick Cote W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.40 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.75 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.39 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
27% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
55% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.77 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
78%
7 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
3
33% of wins
DEC
1
11% of wins
KO: 4 (50%) 4 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 1 (13%) 1
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
3 38%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1579
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.5
actual +1 vs expected