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Alan Belcher "The Talent"

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 89% of wins by KO or submission
  • 44% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2006
Elo rating
1524
Global Elo 1570 ±35
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-6-0
KO 4 · Sub 3 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d -9 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Apr 27, 2013
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 18m
Avg fight time
9:11
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.2
Since last fight
13y 2mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Aug 26, 2006 — L vs Yushin Okami Δ-29Dec 13, 2006 — W vs Jorge Santiago Δ+36Apr 7, 2007 — L vs Kendall Grove Δ-28May 26, 2007 — W vs Sean Salmon Δ+33Oct 20, 2007 — W vs Kalib Starnes Δ+31Apr 19, 2008 — L vs Jason Day Δ-21Sep 17, 2008 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+16Jan 17, 2009 — W vs Denis Kang Δ+16Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Yoshihiro Akiyama Δ-18Dec 12, 2009 — W vs Wilson Gouveia Δ+21May 8, 2010 — W vs Patrick Cote Δ+15Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Jason MacDonald Δ+16May 5, 2012 — W vs Rousimar Palhares Δ+20Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Yushin Okami Δ-14Apr 27, 2013 — L vs Michael Bisping Δ-14 135014001450150015501600 200820102012 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":325.6,"elo":1416,"date":"2006-08-26","opp":"Yushin Okami","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":122.2,"y":279.2,"elo":1452,"date":"2006-12-13","opp":"Jorge Santiago","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":156.2,"y":314.5,"elo":1425,"date":"2007-04-07","opp":"Kendall Grove","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":170.7,"y":272.4,"elo":1457,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"Sean Salmon","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":214.1,"y":233.1,"elo":1488,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Kalib Starnes","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":267.9,"y":259.6,"elo":1467,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Jason Day","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":312.6,"y":239.6,"elo":1483,"date":"2008-09-17","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":348.6,"y":218.6,"elo":1499,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Denis Kang","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":400.3,"y":242.3,"elo":1481,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Yoshihiro Akiyama","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":445.9,"y":215.3,"elo":1502,"date":"2009-12-12","opp":"Wilson Gouveia","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":489.3,"y":196.6,"elo":1517,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":636.2,"y":176.4,"elo":1532,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Jason MacDonald","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":704.5,"y":150.5,"elo":1553,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Rousimar Palhares","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":774.8,"y":169.2,"elo":1538,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Yushin Okami","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":187.8,"elo":1524,"date":"2013-04-27","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 27, 2013 Michael Bisping L -14
Dec 29, 2012 Yushin Okami L -14
May 5, 2012 Rousimar Palhares W +20
Sep 17, 2011 Jason MacDonald W +16
May 8, 2010 Patrick Cote W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
78%
7 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
3
33% of wins
DEC
1
11% of wins
KO: 4 (50%) 4 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 1 (13%) 1
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
3 38%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 372 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 27%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Distance
  • Distance 68%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 17%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
2 of 6
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 4 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1579
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Rousimar Palhares
Elo 1621 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.5
+1.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1625
Notable wins
Rousimar Palhares 1621

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Alan Belcher on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.