HonestElo
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Jimmie Rivera

Inactive · Orthodox · 163 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1587 ±39
LCB 1536
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -17
Last fight
Feb 27, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Jul 18, 2015 — W vs Marcus Brimage Δ+34Nov 7, 2015 — W vs Pedro Munhoz Δ+27Jan 30, 2016 — W vs Iuri Alcantara Δ+29Sep 10, 2016 — W vs Urijah Faber Δ+29Jul 22, 2017 — W vs Thomas Almeida Δ+27Jun 1, 2018 — L vs Marlon Moraes Δ-23Sep 8, 2018 — W vs John Dodson Δ+15Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Aljamain Sterling Δ-17Jun 8, 2019 — L vs Petr Yan Δ-16Jul 15, 2020 — W vs Cody Stamann Δ+16Feb 27, 2021 — L vs Pedro Munhoz Δ-17 14941542159016381686 201620172018201920202021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":191.8,"elo":1534,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Marcus Brimage","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":70.5,"y":161.7,"elo":1561,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":105.4,"y":129.3,"elo":1590,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Iuri Alcantara","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":198.5,"y":97.6,"elo":1619,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":329.3,"y":68.2,"elo":1646,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Thomas Almeida","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":459.8,"y":93.4,"elo":1623,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"Marlon Moraes","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":6,"x":500.9,"y":76.7,"elo":1638,"date":"2018-09-08","opp":"John Dodson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":568.2,"y":95.3,"elo":1621,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":614.3,"y":113.1,"elo":1605,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Petr Yan","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":781.7,"y":95.3,"elo":1621,"date":"2020-07-15","opp":"Cody Stamann","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":114.1,"elo":1604,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 27, 2021 Pedro Munhoz L -17
Jul 15, 2020 Cody Stamann W +16
Jun 8, 2019 Petr Yan L -16
Feb 17, 2019 Aljamain Sterling L -17
Sep 8, 2018 John Dodson W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.81 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.69 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.83 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
28% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
93% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.10 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
14%
1 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
86% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (86%) 6
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1610
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.8
actual +1 vs expected