HonestElo
← bantamweight

Marcus Mcghee

Elo rating
1590 ±26
LCB 1556
Rank
#23
top 23% of division
UFC record
4-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -23
Last fight
Jul 26, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Apr 29, 2023 — W vs Journey Newson Δ+29Aug 12, 2023 — W vs JP Buys Δ+22Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Gaston Bolanos Δ+30Nov 16, 2024 — W vs Jonathan Martinez Δ+32Jul 26, 2025 — L vs Petr Yan Δ-23 14891530157116121653 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.4,"elo":1529,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Journey Newson","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":133.2,"y":155.8,"elo":1551,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"JP Buys","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":2,"x":293.4,"y":116.7,"elo":1581,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Gaston Bolanos","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":613.8,"y":75.6,"elo":1613,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Jonathan Martinez","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":105.4,"elo":1590,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Petr Yan","result":"L","delta":-23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 26, 2025 Petr Yan L -23
Nov 16, 2024 Jonathan Martinez W +32
Jan 13, 2024 Gaston Bolanos W +30
Aug 12, 2023 JP Buys W +22
Apr 29, 2023 Journey Newson W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.78 avg 3.89
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.16 avg 3.03
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.27 avg 1.69
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
14% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
90% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.27 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
2
50% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 2 (50%) 2 Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1537
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.6
actual +1 vs expected