HonestElo
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Kevin Aguilar

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1479 ±40
LCB 1427
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-4
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
May 15, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Ricky Glenn Δ+33Mar 30, 2019 — W vs Enrique Barzola Δ+34Jun 22, 2019 — L vs Dan Ige Δ-29Feb 22, 2020 — L vs Zubaira Tukhugov Δ-33Jun 13, 2020 — L vs Charles Rosa Δ-30May 15, 2021 — L vs Tucker Lutz Δ-15 14201467151315601606 201920202021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":108,"elo":1533,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Ricky Glenn","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":138,"y":69.5,"elo":1566,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Enrique Barzola","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":217.8,"y":102.2,"elo":1538,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Dan Ige","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":450.5,"y":139.4,"elo":1505,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Zubaira Tukhugov","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":556.9,"y":173.7,"elo":1475,"date":"2020-06-13","opp":"Charles Rosa","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":190.5,"elo":1460,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Tucker Lutz","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 15, 2021 Tucker Lutz L -15
Jun 13, 2020 Charles Rosa L -30
Feb 22, 2020 Zubaira Tukhugov L -33
Jun 22, 2019 Dan Ige L -29
Mar 30, 2019 Enrique Barzola W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.00 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.91 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.19 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
17% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
81% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1538
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual -1 vs expected