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Said Nurmagomedov

Active #27 bantamweight · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1592 ±34
LCB 1547
Rank
#27
top 28% of division
UFC record
7-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Jul 26, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Jul 14, 2018 — W vs Justin Scoggins Δ+29Feb 2, 2019 — W vs Ricardo Ramos Δ+39Dec 21, 2019 — L vs Raoni Barcelos Δ-27Oct 17, 2020 — W vs Mark Striegl Δ+29Jan 22, 2022 — W vs Cody Stamann Δ+34Jul 9, 2022 — W vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Δ+14Dec 17, 2022 — W vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov Δ+16Mar 11, 2023 — L vs Jonathan Martinez Δ-18Oct 21, 2023 — W vs Muin Gafurov Δ+11Feb 1, 2025 — L vs Vinicius Oliveira Δ-19Jul 26, 2025 — L vs Bryce Mitchell Δ-16 14891535158116271673 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":190,"elo":1529,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Justin Scoggins","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":91.3,"y":145.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Ricardo Ramos","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":198.1,"y":176.3,"elo":1540,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Raoni Barcelos","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":297.9,"y":142.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Mark Striegl","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":451.2,"y":103.9,"elo":1603,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Cody Stamann","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":506.9,"y":88.2,"elo":1617,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Douglas Silva de Andrade","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":560.3,"y":70,"elo":1633,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"Saidyokub Kakhramonov","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":588.1,"y":90.3,"elo":1615,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Jonathan Martinez","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":662.4,"y":77.4,"elo":1626,"date":"2023-10-21","opp":"Muin Gafurov","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":9,"x":818,"y":99,"elo":1608,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Vinicius Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":116.9,"elo":1592,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Bryce Mitchell","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 26, 2025 Bryce Mitchell L -16
Feb 1, 2025 Vinicius Oliveira L -19
Oct 21, 2023 Muin Gafurov W +11
Mar 11, 2023 Jonathan Martinez L -18
Dec 17, 2022 Saidyokub Kakhramonov W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.67 avg 3.97
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.78 avg 3.08
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 1.67
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
15% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.00 avg 0.35
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
3
43% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 3 (43%) 3 Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
4 80%
R2
1 20%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1563
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.9
actual +1 vs expected