HonestElo
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Bill Algeo

Active #56 featherweight · Switch · 183 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1524 ±37
LCB 1476
Rank
#56
top 57% of division
UFC record
5-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Jul 20, 2024
L by KO

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Aug 29, 2020 — L vs Ricardo Lamas Δ-21Nov 28, 2020 — W vs Spike Carlyle Δ+31May 22, 2021 — L vs Ricardo Ramos Δ-24Jan 15, 2022 — W vs Joanderson Brito Δ+30Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Herbert Burns Δ+34Sep 17, 2022 — L vs Andre Fili Δ-17Apr 15, 2023 — W vs TJ Brown Δ+16Oct 7, 2023 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+16Mar 30, 2024 — L vs Kyle Nelson Δ-23Jul 20, 2024 — L vs Dooho Choi Δ-20 14391481152315641606 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185.1,"elo":1479,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":78.6,"y":145.8,"elo":1510,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Spike Carlyle","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":183.5,"y":176.2,"elo":1486,"date":"2021-05-22","opp":"Ricardo Ramos","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":326.2,"y":138.1,"elo":1516,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Joanderson Brito","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":435.3,"y":94.4,"elo":1551,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Herbert Burns","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":473.1,"y":116,"elo":1534,"date":"2022-09-17","opp":"Andre Fili","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":599,"y":95.4,"elo":1550,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"TJ Brown","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":703.9,"y":74.9,"elo":1566,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":808.8,"y":104.4,"elo":1543,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Kyle Nelson","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":130.1,"elo":1522,"date":"2024-07-20","opp":"Dooho Choi","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 20, 2024 Dooho Choi L -20
Mar 30, 2024 Kyle Nelson L -23
Oct 7, 2023 Alexander Hernandez W +16
Apr 15, 2023 TJ Brown W +16
Sep 17, 2022 Andre Fili L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.99 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.70 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.08 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
56% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
54% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.12 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1511
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.0
actual 0 vs expected