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David Branch

Inactive · age 44 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 78" 198 cm
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2010
Elo rating
1474
Global Elo 1525 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Mar 30, 2019
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 22m
Avg fight time
9:09
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
1.0
Ground control
34m
Since last fight
7y 3mo

Honest Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jul 3, 2010 — L vs Gerald Harris Δ-27Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Tomasz Drwal Δ+34Dec 4, 2010 — W vs Rich Attonito Δ+33Mar 3, 2011 — L vs Rousimar Palhares Δ-29May 13, 2017 — W vs Krzysztof Jotko Δ+37Sep 16, 2017 — L vs Luke Rockhold Δ-13Apr 21, 2018 — W vs Thiago Santos Δ+22Nov 3, 2018 — L vs Jared Cannonier Δ-21Mar 30, 2019 — L vs Jack Hermansson Δ-16 1400142514501475150015251550 2012201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":350.7,"elo":1428,"date":"2010-07-03","opp":"Gerald Harris","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":1,"x":106.7,"y":277.9,"elo":1462,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Tomasz Drwal","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":124.7,"y":207.3,"elo":1495,"date":"2010-12-04","opp":"Rich Attonito","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":144.8,"y":269.8,"elo":1466,"date":"2011-03-03","opp":"Rousimar Palhares","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":655.3,"y":191.5,"elo":1502,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Krzysztof Jotko","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":5,"x":683.7,"y":219.7,"elo":1489,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Luke Rockhold","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":6,"x":732.6,"y":172.1,"elo":1512,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":7,"x":776.8,"y":216.3,"elo":1491,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":8,"x":810,"y":251.3,"elo":1474,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 30, 2019 Jack Hermansson L -16
Nov 3, 2018 Jared Cannonier L -21
Apr 21, 2018 Thiago Santos W +22
Sep 16, 2017 Luke Rockhold L -13
May 13, 2017 Krzysztof Jotko W +37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 137 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
47% Head
  • Head 47%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
50% Distance
  • Distance 50%
  • Clinch 35%
  • Ground 15%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
5 of 5 · usually R2
3 KO/TKO 2 Sub 0 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1590
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Thiago Santos
Elo 1610 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.8
+0.2 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 9 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1563
1573
Notable wins
Thiago Santos 1610 Krzysztof Jotko 1607

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from David Branch on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.