HonestElo
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Cezar Ferreira

Inactive · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1555 ±42
LCB 1501
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 6
Streak
-2
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Jul 13, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Jun 23, 2012 — W vs Sergio Moraes Δ+36Aug 3, 2013 — W vs Thiago Santos Δ+30Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Daniel Sarafian Δ+24Mar 23, 2014 — L vs CB Dollaway Δ-39Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Andrew Craig Δ+27Feb 22, 2015 — L vs Sam Alvey Δ-22Jul 12, 2015 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-17Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Oluwale Bamgbose Δ+14Jul 8, 2016 — W vs Anthony Smith Δ+14Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Jack Hermansson Δ+16Feb 19, 2017 — L vs Elias Theodorou Δ-16Nov 11, 2017 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+15May 12, 2018 — W vs Karl Roberson Δ+16Nov 17, 2018 — L vs Ian Heinisch Δ-20Jul 13, 2019 — L vs Marvin Vettori Δ-19 14961532156716031639 201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":176.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2012-06-23","opp":"Sergio Moraes","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":158.3,"y":132.5,"elo":1566,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":190.7,"y":96.5,"elo":1590,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Daniel Sarafian","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":235,"y":154.1,"elo":1551,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":267.1,"y":113.9,"elo":1578,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Andrew Craig","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":346.1,"y":146.7,"elo":1556,"date":"2015-02-22","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":6,"x":392.5,"y":171.8,"elo":1539,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":484.7,"y":150.4,"elo":1554,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Oluwale Bamgbose","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":512.2,"y":130.4,"elo":1567,"date":"2016-07-08","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":556.5,"y":106,"elo":1584,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":586.9,"y":129.3,"elo":1568,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":674.6,"y":106.6,"elo":1583,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":734.8,"y":83.4,"elo":1599,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":797.3,"y":113.7,"elo":1578,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Ian Heinisch","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":142.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2019-07-13","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 13, 2019 Marvin Vettori L -19
Nov 17, 2018 Ian Heinisch L -20
May 12, 2018 Karl Roberson W +16
Nov 11, 2017 Nate Marquardt W +15
Feb 19, 2017 Elias Theodorou L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.75 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.24 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.47 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
54% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
85% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.44 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
3 / 9
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
33% of wins
DEC
6
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (33%) 3 Dec: 6 (67%) 6
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1535
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.3
actual +1 vs expected