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Cezar Ferreira "Mutante"

Inactive · age 41 · Southpaw · 6'1" 185 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 78" 198 cm
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2012
Elo rating
1504
Global Elo 1555 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 6
Streak
-2
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Jul 13, 2019
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 36m
Avg fight time
10:25
Title fights
1-0
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.1
Ground control
50m
Since last fight
6y 11mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Jun 23, 2012 — W vs Sergio Moraes Δ+36Aug 3, 2013 — W vs Thiago Santos Δ+30Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Daniel Sarafian Δ+24Mar 23, 2014 — L vs CB Dollaway Δ-39Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Andrew Craig Δ+27Feb 22, 2015 — L vs Sam Alvey Δ-22Jul 12, 2015 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-17Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Oluwale Bamgbose Δ+14Jul 8, 2016 — W vs Anthony Smith Δ+14Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Jack Hermansson Δ+16Feb 19, 2017 — L vs Elias Theodorou Δ-16Nov 11, 2017 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+15May 12, 2018 — W vs Karl Roberson Δ+16Nov 17, 2018 — L vs Ian Heinisch Δ-20Jul 13, 2019 — L vs Marvin Vettori Δ-19 1460148015001520154015601580 201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":354.8,"elo":1481,"date":"2012-06-23","opp":"Sergio Moraes","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":203.5,"y":275.6,"elo":1510,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":230.9,"y":211.1,"elo":1535,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Daniel Sarafian","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":268.3,"y":314.5,"elo":1496,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":295.4,"y":242.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Andrew Craig","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":362.2,"y":301.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2015-02-22","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":6,"x":401.4,"y":346.3,"elo":1484,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":479.3,"y":307.9,"elo":1498,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Oluwale Bamgbose","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":502.5,"y":271.9,"elo":1512,"date":"2016-07-08","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":540,"y":228.1,"elo":1528,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":565.7,"y":270,"elo":1513,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":639.8,"y":229.2,"elo":1528,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":690.7,"y":187.6,"elo":1543,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":743.5,"y":242,"elo":1523,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Ian Heinisch","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":293.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2019-07-13","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 13, 2019 Marvin Vettori L -19
Nov 17, 2018 Ian Heinisch L -20
May 12, 2018 Karl Roberson W +16
Nov 11, 2017 Nate Marquardt W +15
Feb 19, 2017 Elias Theodorou L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
3 / 9
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
33% of wins
DEC
6
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (33%) 3 Dec: 6 (67%) 6
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 297 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 15%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
3 of 6 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 3 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1535
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Nate Marquardt
Elo 1552 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.3
+0.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1505

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Cezar Ferreira on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.