HonestElo
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Muhammad Naimov

Active #28 featherweight · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1569 ±37
LCB 1522
Rank
#28
top 28% of division
UFC record
5-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Jun 3, 2023 — W vs Jamie Mullarkey Δ+36Oct 21, 2023 — W vs Nathaniel Wood Δ+35Feb 24, 2024 — W vs Erik Silva Δ+23Jun 22, 2024 — L vs Felipe Lima Δ-42Feb 1, 2025 — W vs Kaan Ofli Δ+21Jun 21, 2025 — W vs Bogdan Grad Δ+14Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Mairon Santos Δ-18 14961530156515991634 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":174.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Jamie Mullarkey","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":154.1,"y":121,"elo":1571,"date":"2023-10-21","opp":"Nathaniel Wood","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":271.1,"y":85.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Erik Silva","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":3,"x":381.7,"y":149.5,"elo":1552,"date":"2024-06-22","opp":"Felipe Lima","result":"L","delta":-42},{"i":4,"x":589.8,"y":117,"elo":1573,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Kaan Ofli","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":5,"x":719.9,"y":95.6,"elo":1587,"date":"2025-06-21","opp":"Bogdan Grad","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":123,"elo":1569,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Mairon Santos","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Mairon Santos L -18
Jun 21, 2025 Bogdan Grad W +14
Feb 1, 2025 Kaan Ofli W +21
Jun 22, 2024 Felipe Lima L -42
Feb 24, 2024 Erik Silva W +23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.94 avg 3.82
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.39 avg 2.99
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
45% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.50 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
74% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.17 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1510
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.8
actual +1 vs expected