HonestElo
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Steven Peterson

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1481 ±40
LCB 1430
Rank
UFC record
3-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Mar 25, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Feb 18, 2018 — L vs Brandon Davis Δ-31Jul 6, 2018 — W vs Matt Bessette Δ+29Mar 23, 2019 — L vs Luis Pena Δ-28Jul 20, 2019 — L vs Alex Caceres Δ-27Sep 21, 2019 — W vs Martin Bravo Δ+36Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Chase Hooper Δ+18Feb 5, 2022 — L vs Julian Erosa Δ-17Mar 25, 2023 — L vs Lucas Alexander Δ-16 14021436147015041538 20192020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":132.3,"elo":1469,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Brandon Davis","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":87.2,"y":86.4,"elo":1498,"date":"2018-07-06","opp":"Matt Bessette","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":206.2,"y":130.6,"elo":1470,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Luis Pena","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":260.7,"y":173.6,"elo":1442,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Alex Caceres","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":289.5,"y":117,"elo":1479,"date":"2019-09-21","opp":"Martin Bravo","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":5,"x":578,"y":88.6,"elo":1497,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Chase Hooper","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":686.9,"y":115.9,"elo":1479,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Julian Erosa","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":141.7,"elo":1463,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Lucas Alexander","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 25, 2023 Lucas Alexander L -16
Feb 5, 2022 Julian Erosa L -17
Jun 12, 2021 Chase Hooper W +18
Sep 21, 2019 Martin Bravo W +36
Jul 20, 2019 Alex Caceres L -27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.52 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.86 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.30 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.78 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1484
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.0
actual -1 vs expected