Other bouts 7
- 1bantamweight MainRaul Rosas Jr.vsRaoni Barcelos
- 2women's bantamweightNorma DumontvsAilin Perez
- 3bantamweightMontel JacksonvsRicky Simon
- 4women's strawweightYazmin JaureguivsVanessa Demopoulos
- 5light heavyweightRodolfo BellatovsChristian Edwards
- 6lightweightElves BrenervsJosiah Harrell
- 8featherweightJohn CastanedavsAlatengheili
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Dumas +55 Elo for a ~15 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
Finishes 83% of wins (5 SUB; 67% of wins end in round 1).
Both enter off a loss (Nov 2024 / Apr 2026).
Hasn't fought since Nov 2024.
Reach advantage of ~5".
Tale of the tape
| 6-7-0 | UFC record | 3-5-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 5 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| -4 | Streak | -3 |
| 34 | Age | 31 |
| 6'2" 188 cm | Height | 6'2" 188 cm |
| 74" 188 cm | Reach | 79" 201 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1507 | Global Elo | 1455 |
| 1466 | Elo rating | 1408 |
Mickey Gall — Notable ▼
- 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Top 5 · welterweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Mickey Gall1.58
- 3Ramiz Brahimaj1.44
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 83% of wins by submission
- 67% of wins finished in round 1
Sedriques Dumas — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
Mickey Gall — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 366 landed total · career
- Head 79%
- Body 16%
- Leg 5%
- Distance 77%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 12%
Sedriques Dumas — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 135 landed total · career
- Head 46%
- Body 19%
- Leg 35%
- Distance 77%
- Clinch 5%
- Ground 18%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carlos Leal8.75
- 2Daniil Donchenko8.07
- 3Daniel Rodriguez7.18
- 4Max Holloway6.92
- 5Jacobe Smith6.85
- 1Kiefer Crosbie64%
- 2Jacobe Smith63%
- 3Daniil Donchenko62%
- 4Chidi Njokuani62%
- 5Gunnar Nelson61%
- 1Islam Makhachev1.42
- 2Jeremiah Wells1.43
- 3Seokhyeon Ko1.47
- 4Michael Page1.57
- 5Michael Chiesa1.73
- 1Daniil Donchenko70%
- 2Seokhyeon Ko65%
- 3Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 4Muslim Salikhov62%
- 5Michael Page62%
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.22
- 2Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 3Jacobe Smith4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- 1Jacobe Smith100%
- 2Charles Radtke100%
- 3Kevin Jousset100%
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov92%
- 5Islam Makhachev91%
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Mickey Gall1.58
- 3Ramiz Brahimaj1.44
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 1Seokhyeon Ko8.40
- 2Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 3Myktybek Orolbai8.08
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1502 (Mickey Gall) vs 1480 (Sedriques Dumas).
- Nov 16, 2024
- Jun 1, 2024
- Apr 9, 2022
- Dec 4, 2021
- Jul 24, 2021
- Apr 25, 2026
- Nov 1, 2025
- Sep 13, 2025
- Apr 12, 2025
- Aug 3, 2024