Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1bantamweight MainRaul Rosas Jr.vsRaoni Barcelos
- 2women's bantamweightNorma DumontvsAilin Perez
- 3Not linkedlight heavyweightLuis HernandezvsSedriques Dumas
- 4Not linkedbantamweightMahammadali OsmanlivsIlimbek Akylbek
- 5Not linkedwomen's strawweightMelissa AmayavsTina Black
- 6bantamweightBrady HiestandvsRinya Nakamura
- 7middleweightRodolfo VieiravsRobert Bryczek
- 9lightweightElves BrenervsJosiah Harrell
- 10bantamweightMontel JacksonvsRicky Simon
- 11bantamweightJohn CastanedavsAlatengheili
- 12women's strawweightVanessa DemopoulosvsYazmin Jauregui
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Rodolfo Bellato 48.2% · Christian Edwards 51.8%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Rodolfo Bellato 58.8% · Christian Edwards 41.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 8
Notable
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 2-2-1 | UFC record | 1-1-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| -1 | Streak | +1 |
| 30 | Age | 27 |
| 6'3" 191 cm | Height | 6'5" 196 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 78" 198 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 1499 | Global Elo | 1520 |
| 1452 | Elo rating | 1465 |
Rodolfo Bellato — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
- Top 5 · light heavyweightStriking Accuracy
- 1Diyar Nurgozhay63%
- 2Paulo Costa59%
- 3Zhang Mingyang59%
- 4Rodolfo Bellato58%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- Top 5 · light heavyweightTakedown Defense
- 1Zhang Mingyang100%
- 2Julius Walker100%
- 3Bruno Lopes100%
- 4Rodolfo Bellato93%
- 5Azamat Murzakanov89%
Christian Edwards — Notable ▼
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Rodolfo Bellato — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 282 landed total · career
- Head 61%
- Body 22%
- Leg 18%
- Distance 63%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 26%
Christian Edwards — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 95 landed total · career
- Head 53%
- Body 33%
- Leg 15%
- Distance 62%
- Clinch 34%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Zhang Mingyang6.64
- 2Carlos Ulberg6.61
- 3Navajo Stirling6.41
- 4Paulo Costa6.15
- 5Jamahal Hill5.89
- 1Diyar Nurgozhay63%
- 2Paulo Costa59%
- 3Zhang Mingyang59%
- 4Rodolfo Bellato58%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- 1Oumar Sy1.97
- 2Felipe Franco2.17
- 3Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev2.25
- 4Reinier De Ridder2.26
- 5Navajo Stirling2.46
- 1Oumar Sy64%
- 2Caio Machado62%
- 3Iwo Baraniewski59%
- 4Navajo Stirling59%
- 5Robert Whittaker59%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev12.68
- 2Jimmy Crute4.64
- 3Julius Walker4.29
- 4Ion Cutelaba4.02
- 5Bruno Lopes2.91
- 1Zhang Mingyang100%
- 2Julius Walker100%
- 3Bruno Lopes100%
- 4Rodolfo Bellato93%
- 5Azamat Murzakanov89%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev8.45
- 2Jimmy Crute2.13
- 3Gerald Meerschaert1.44
- 4Nikita Krylov1.14
- 5Billy Elekana0.85
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev10.07
- 2Julius Walker8.86
- 3Austen Lane6.24
- 4Jimmy Crute6.02
- 5Oumar Sy5.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1519 (Rodolfo Bellato) vs 1536 (Christian Edwards).
- Sep 26, 2026
- Mar 7, 2026
- Sep 27, 2025
- Jun 14, 2025
- Feb 8, 2025
- Sep 26, 2026
- May 16, 2026