← Back to event card

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Perez

On a 6-fight win streak.

Tale of the tape

9-3-0 UFC record 6-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
-1 Streak +6
35 Age 31
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'5" 165 cm
67" 170 cm Reach 66" 168 cm
Orthodox Stance Switch
1610 Global Elo 1611
1566 Elo rating 1572
Norma Dumont — Notable
At a glance
Ailin Perez — Notable
At a glance

Norma Dumont — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 687 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 6%

Ailin Perez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 256 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
48% Distance
  • Distance 48%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 35%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.85
2.88
div avg 3.92
51%
56%
div avg 48%
2.33
1.58
div avg 3.30
64%
57%
div avg 56%
1.43
4.90
div avg 1.33
55%
49%
div avg 39%
72%
73%
div avg 64%
0.00
0.17
div avg 0.44
4
7
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Norma Dumont
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ailin Perez
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Ailin Perez
17% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Norma Dumont
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Norma Dumont has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1581 vs 1526, 1 quality wins to 0.

Norma Dumont red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1581
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Germaine de Randamie
Elo 1626 at fight time
Expected wins
6.0
+3.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1511
1574
Ailin Perez blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1526
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Karol Rosa
Elo 1570 at fight time
Expected wins
3.7
+2.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1508
1563

Common opponents

4 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Apr 25, 2026
    Jun 1, 2024
  • L
    W
    Decision - Split
    Decision - Unanimous
    May 7, 2022
    Feb 28, 2026
  • W
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Apr 22, 2023
    Jan 18, 2025
  • W
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Nov 28, 2020
    Jul 15, 2023
Corner A recent form
Norma Dumont
Corner B recent form
Ailin Perez
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Norma Dumont & Ailin Perez on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.