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✓ Yazmin Jauregui won · by TKO · R1

Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui — Honest Elo matchup

women's strawweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Nevada
Sep 26, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Vanessa Demopoulos
#34 5-6-0
Elo 1437
VS
Corner B
Yazmin Jauregui
#23 4-2-0
Elo 1476
Final result · recorded Sep 26, 2026
Yazmin Jauregui
defeated Vanessa Demopoulos by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Vanessa Demopoulos 26.7% · Yazmin Jauregui 73.3%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Vanessa Demopoulos 49.3% · Yazmin Jauregui 50.7%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos Main event · bantamweight Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez women's bantamweight Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura bantamweight Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek middleweight Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards light heavyweight Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell lightweight Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon bantamweight John Castaneda vs Alatengheili bantamweight

Notable

Jauregui

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

5-6-0 UFC record 4-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
-4 Streak +1
38 Age 27
5'2" 157 cm Height 5'3" 160 cm
59" 150 cm Reach 64" 163 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1484 Global Elo 1524
1437 Elo rating 1476
Vanessa Demopoulos — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
Yazmin Jauregui — Notable ▼
At a glance

Vanessa Demopoulos — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 458 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 11%

Yazmin Jauregui — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 316 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.61
7.26
div avg 4.88
40%
41%
div avg 48%
5.88
5.29
div avg 4.16
41%
55%
div avg 54%
0.35
0.34
div avg 1.78
10%
17%
div avg 46%
26%
100%
div avg 67%
0.24
0.00
div avg 0.58
2
1
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Vanessa Demopoulos
20% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Yazmin Jauregui
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Yazmin Jauregui
50% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Vanessa Demopoulos
finished 33%
2 of 6 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1508 (Vanessa Demopoulos) vs 1489 (Yazmin Jauregui).

Vanessa Demopoulos red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1508
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jinh Yu Frey
Elo 1501 at fight time
Expected wins
5.8
−0.8 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1536
1506
Yazmin Jauregui blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1489
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Vanessa Demopoulos
Elo 1502 at fight time
Expected wins
3.3
+0.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1500
1502
Corner A recent form
Vanessa Demopoulos
Corner B recent form
Yazmin Jauregui
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Vanessa Demopoulos & Yazmin Jauregui on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.