John Castaneda vs Alatengheili — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1bantamweight MainRaul Rosas Jr.vsRaoni Barcelos
- 2women's bantamweightNorma DumontvsAilin Perez
- 3Not linkedlight heavyweightLuis HernandezvsSedriques Dumas
- 4Not linkedbantamweightMahammadali OsmanlivsIlimbek Akylbek
- 5Not linkedwomen's strawweightMelissa AmayavsTina Black
- 6bantamweightBrady HiestandvsRinya Nakamura
- 7middleweightRodolfo VieiravsRobert Bryczek
- 8light heavyweightRodolfo BellatovsChristian Edwards
- 9lightweightElves BrenervsJosiah Harrell
- 10bantamweightMontel JacksonvsRicky Simon
- 12women's strawweightVanessa DemopoulosvsYazmin Jauregui
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: John Castaneda 74.5% · Alatengheili 25.5%
Pure Elo pre-fight: John Castaneda 47.3% · Alatengheili 52.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 8
Notable
Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.
Tale of the tape
| 4-5-1 | UFC record | 6-3-1 |
| KO 1 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| -1 | Streak | +1 |
| 34 | Age | — |
| 5'6" 168 cm | Height | — |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | — |
| Switch | Stance | — |
| 1511 | Global Elo | 1561 |
| 1464 | Elo rating | 1517 |
John Castaneda — Notable ▼
- 50% of wins by KO or submission
Alatengheili — Notable ▼
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
John Castaneda — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 654 landed total · career
- Head 56%
- Body 16%
- Leg 29%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 3%
Alatengheili — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 368 landed total · career
- Head 66%
- Body 20%
- Leg 14%
- Distance 96%
- Clinch 1%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Payton Talbott6.07
- 3Sean O'Malley5.97
- 4Adrian Yanez5.92
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Montel Jackson1.39
- 2Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 3Jafel Filho1.52
- 4Suyoung You1.68
- 5Elijah Smith1.70
- 1David Martinez72%
- 2Suyoung You70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Javid Basharat64%
- 1Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 2Raul Rosas Jr.5.34
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Brady Hiestand4.13
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Elijah Smith75%
- 2Santiago Luna71%
- 3Benardo Sopaj60%
- 4Montel Jackson60%
- 5Rinya Nakamura57%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Xiao Long88%
- 5Caolan Loughran88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 2Rafael Estevam7.79
- 3Rinya Nakamura6.94
- 4Raul Rosas Jr.6.68
- 5Brady Hiestand6.54
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
John Castaneda has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1563 vs 1534, 0 quality wins to 0.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Sep 26, 2026
- Apr 18, 2026
- Apr 26, 2025
- Jun 8, 2024
- Nov 11, 2023
- Sep 26, 2026
- Apr 26, 2025
- May 18, 2024
- Oct 14, 2023
- Sep 10, 2022