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Luke Barnatt "The Bigslow"

Inactive · age 38 · Orthodox · 6'6" 198 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 67% of wins by KO or submission
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1464
Global Elo 1516 ±40
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +8 · Δ1y +8
Last fight
May 16, 2015
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 12m
Avg fight time
11:56
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.9
Since last fight
11y 1mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 13, 2013 — W vs Collin Hart Δ+29Oct 26, 2013 — W vs Andrew Craig Δ+37Mar 8, 2014 — W vs Mats Nilsson Δ+27May 31, 2014 — L vs Sean Strickland Δ-34Nov 22, 2014 — L vs Roger Narvaez Δ-36May 16, 2015 — L vs Mark Munoz Δ-15 1425145014751500152515501575 20142015 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":281.8,"elo":1485,"date":"2013-04-13","opp":"Collin Hart","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":275,"y":203.1,"elo":1522,"date":"2013-10-26","opp":"Andrew Craig","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":400.5,"y":145.7,"elo":1549,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Mats Nilsson","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":479.7,"y":217.4,"elo":1515,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Sean Strickland","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":4,"x":644.9,"y":295.2,"elo":1479,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Roger Narvaez","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":326.4,"elo":1464,"date":"2015-05-16","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 16, 2015 Mark Munoz L -15
Nov 22, 2014 Roger Narvaez L -36
May 31, 2014 Sean Strickland L -34
Mar 8, 2014 Mats Nilsson W +27
Oct 26, 2013 Andrew Craig W +37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 317 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 3 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1524
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Andrew Craig
Elo 1568 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.2
−0.2 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1552

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Luke Barnatt on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.