HonestElo
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Mohammed Usman

Active #36 heavyweight
Elo rating
1530 ±39
LCB 1479
Rank
#36
top 69% of division
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +17
Last fight
Jun 21, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Aug 6, 2022 — W vs Zac Pauga Δ+33Apr 22, 2023 — W vs Junior Tafa Δ+26Sep 23, 2023 — W vs Jake Collier Δ+20Mar 23, 2024 — L vs Mick Parkin Δ-31Jul 20, 2024 — L vs Thomas Petersen Δ-35Jun 21, 2025 — W vs Hamdy Abdelwahab Δ+17 14731510154615831619 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":149,"elo":1533,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Zac Pauga","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":234.2,"y":111,"elo":1559,"date":"2023-04-22","opp":"Junior Tafa","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":359.1,"y":82.2,"elo":1579,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Jake Collier","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":3,"x":506.8,"y":126.7,"elo":1548,"date":"2024-03-23","opp":"Mick Parkin","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":603.4,"y":177.8,"elo":1513,"date":"2024-07-20","opp":"Thomas Petersen","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":153.4,"elo":1530,"date":"2025-06-21","opp":"Hamdy Abdelwahab","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 21, 2025 Hamdy Abdelwahab W +17
Jul 20, 2024 Thomas Petersen L -35
Mar 23, 2024 Mick Parkin L -31
Sep 23, 2023 Jake Collier W +20
Apr 22, 2023 Junior Tafa W +26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.65 avg 3.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.05 avg 2.78
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.53 avg 1.28
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
14% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1501
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.3
actual +1 vs expected