HonestElo
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Martin Buday

Active #9 heavyweight
Elo rating
1597 ±24
LCB 1566
Rank
#9
top 16% of division
UFC record
7-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 6
Streak
+3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +25
Last fight
Jul 26, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Apr 16, 2022 — W vs Chris Barnett Δ+29Aug 13, 2022 — W vs Lukasz Brzeski Δ+26Apr 29, 2023 — W vs Jake Collier Δ+21Aug 12, 2023 — W vs Josh Parisian Δ+23Dec 16, 2023 — L vs Shamil Gaziev Δ-42Jun 29, 2024 — W vs Andrei Arlovski Δ+16Apr 5, 2025 — W vs Uran Satybaldiev Δ+13Jul 26, 2025 — W vs Marcus Buchecha Δ+12 14891527156416021639 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":179.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-04-16","opp":"Chris Barnett","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":108.7,"y":142.2,"elo":1556,"date":"2022-08-13","opp":"Lukasz Brzeski","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":293.1,"y":112.6,"elo":1577,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Jake Collier","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":3,"x":367.8,"y":80.5,"elo":1599,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Josh Parisian","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":457.5,"y":140.4,"elo":1557,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Shamil Gaziev","result":"L","delta":-42},{"i":5,"x":597,"y":118.3,"elo":1573,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":796.3,"y":100.4,"elo":1585,"date":"2025-04-05","opp":"Uran Satybaldiev","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":83.2,"elo":1597,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Marcus Buchecha","result":"W","delta":12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 26, 2025 Marcus Buchecha W +12
Apr 5, 2025 Uran Satybaldiev W +13
Jun 29, 2024 Andrei Arlovski W +16
Dec 16, 2023 Shamil Gaziev L -42
Aug 12, 2023 Josh Parisian W +23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.03 avg 3.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.23 avg 2.73
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.14 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
25% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
93% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.14 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
14%
1 / 7
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
6
86% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (14%) 1 Dec: 6 (86%) 6
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1502
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.7
actual +2 vs expected