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Peter Sobotta

Inactive · age 39 · Southpaw · 6'0" 183 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2009
Elo rating
1462
Global Elo 1510 ±37
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +17 · Δ1y +17
Last fight
Jul 25, 2020
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 57m
Avg fight time
11:45
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
0.9
Ground control
36m
Since last fight
5y 11mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Jun 13, 2009 — L vs Paul Taylor Δ-31Jun 12, 2010 — L vs James Wilks Δ-25Nov 13, 2010 — L vs Amir Sadollah Δ-21May 31, 2014 — W vs Pawel Pawlak Δ+35Jun 20, 2015 — W vs Steve Kennedy Δ+37Nov 14, 2015 — L vs Kyle Noke Δ-16Sep 3, 2016 — W vs Nicolas Dalby Δ+17May 28, 2017 — W vs Ben Saunders Δ+24Mar 17, 2018 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-15Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Alex Oliveira Δ-13 13501375140014251450147515001525 20112013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":246.5,"elo":1439,"date":"2009-06-13","opp":"Paul Taylor","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":154.6,"y":293.2,"elo":1414,"date":"2010-06-12","opp":"James Wilks","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":2,"x":181.9,"y":331.9,"elo":1393,"date":"2010-11-13","opp":"Amir Sadollah","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":3,"x":411.5,"y":267.7,"elo":1428,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Pawel Pawlak","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":479.8,"y":199.7,"elo":1465,"date":"2015-06-20","opp":"Steve Kennedy","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":5,"x":505.9,"y":229.3,"elo":1449,"date":"2015-11-14","opp":"Kyle Noke","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":558,"y":198.1,"elo":1466,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Nicolas Dalby","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":605.3,"y":154.7,"elo":1490,"date":"2017-05-28","opp":"Ben Saunders","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":8,"x":657.3,"y":181.6,"elo":1475,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":204.7,"elo":1462,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 25, 2020 Alex Oliveira L -13
Mar 17, 2018 Leon Edwards L -15
May 28, 2017 Ben Saunders W +24
Sep 3, 2016 Nicolas Dalby W +17
Nov 14, 2015 Kyle Noke L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 251 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 14%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
2 of 6
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1562
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ben Saunders
Elo 1599 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.2
−0.2 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1478
1580

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Peter Sobotta on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.