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Thiago Tavares

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1548 ±39
LCB 1497
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-7-1
KO 1 · Sub 5 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Jul 8, 2016
L by KO

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Apr 5, 2007 — W vs Naoyuki Kotani Δ+29Jun 12, 2007 — W vs Jason Black Δ+30Sep 22, 2007 — L vs Tyson Griffin Δ-31Jan 23, 2008 — W vs Michihiro Omigawa Δ+24Jun 7, 2008 — L vs Matt Wiman Δ-32Sep 6, 2008 — L vs Kurt Pellegrino Δ-16Jan 31, 2009 — W vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ+16Jan 11, 2010 — D vs Nik Lentz Δ+0Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Pat Audinwood Δ+17Mar 3, 2011 — L vs Shane Roller Δ-20Aug 27, 2011 — W vs Spencer Fisher Δ+21Jan 14, 2012 — W vs Sam Stout Δ+16Jan 19, 2013 — L vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Δ-18Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Justin Salas Δ+18Aug 16, 2014 — W vs Robert Peralta Δ+20Jun 6, 2015 — L vs Brian Ortega Δ-22Nov 7, 2015 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+19Jul 8, 2016 — L vs Dooho Choi Δ-19 14651502153915761613 2009201120132015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":144.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2007-04-05","opp":"Naoyuki Kotani","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":41.1,"y":101.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2007-06-12","opp":"Jason Black","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":66.8,"y":145.6,"elo":1528,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Tyson Griffin","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":97.8,"y":111.1,"elo":1552,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Michihiro Omigawa","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":132.1,"y":156.8,"elo":1520,"date":"2008-06-07","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":5,"x":155,"y":179,"elo":1505,"date":"2008-09-06","opp":"Kurt Pellegrino","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":192,"y":157.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":278.9,"y":156.6,"elo":1520,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"D","delta":0},{"i":8,"x":343.7,"y":131.8,"elo":1538,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Pat Audinwood","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":383.7,"y":160.8,"elo":1517,"date":"2011-03-03","opp":"Shane Roller","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":10,"x":428.3,"y":131.4,"elo":1538,"date":"2011-08-27","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":463.6,"y":109.3,"elo":1554,"date":"2012-01-14","opp":"Sam Stout","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":557.1,"y":134.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2013-01-19","opp":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":631.1,"y":109.4,"elo":1553,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Justin Salas","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":701.7,"y":81,"elo":1573,"date":"2014-08-16","opp":"Robert Peralta","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":15,"x":775.7,"y":112.6,"elo":1551,"date":"2015-06-06","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":16,"x":814.5,"y":84.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":111.8,"elo":1552,"date":"2016-07-08","opp":"Dooho Choi","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 8, 2016 Dooho Choi L -19
Nov 7, 2015 Clay Guida W +19
Jun 6, 2015 Brian Ortega L -22
Aug 16, 2014 Robert Peralta W +20
Nov 9, 2013 Justin Salas W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.73 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.99 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.32 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.26 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
6 / 10
Finish rate
KO
1
10% of wins
SUB
5
50% of wins
DEC
4
40% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 5 (50%) 5 Dec: 4 (40%) 4
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
4 67%
R2
2 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1547
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.2
actual +1 vs expected