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Johnny Case "Hollywood"

Inactive · age 36 · Orthodox · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1501
Global Elo 1550 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Jun 25, 2017
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 19m
Avg fight time
13:12
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.2
Ground control
19m
Since last fight
8y 12mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Sep 20, 2014 — W vs Kazuki Tokudome Δ+30Jan 18, 2015 — W vs Frankie Perez Δ+30Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Francisco Trevino Δ+26Nov 7, 2015 — W vs Yan Cabral Δ+24Mar 19, 2016 — L vs Jake Matthews Δ-38Jun 25, 2017 — L vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ-19 1450147515001525155015751600 201520162017 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":349.8,"elo":1478,"date":"2014-09-20","opp":"Kazuki Tokudome","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":175.6,"y":285.2,"elo":1509,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Frankie Perez","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":279.8,"y":229.9,"elo":1534,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Francisco Trevino","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":384.7,"y":179.6,"elo":1558,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Yan Cabral","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":479.6,"y":261.3,"elo":1520,"date":"2016-03-19","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":301.8,"elo":1501,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 25, 2017 Anthony Rocco Martin L -19
Mar 19, 2016 Jake Matthews L -38
Nov 7, 2015 Yan Cabral W +24
Jun 13, 2015 Francisco Trevino W +26
Jan 18, 2015 Frankie Perez W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 313 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 19%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
1 of 2
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1522
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Francisco Trevino
Elo 1526 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.4
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1472
1506

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Johnny Case on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.