HonestElo
← middleweight

Gregory Rodrigues "Robocop"

Active #10 middleweight · age 34 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 70% of wins by KO/TKO
Elo rating
1603
Global Elo 1649 ±35
Rank
#10
top 13% of division
UFC record
10-3-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +48
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
Win by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 56m
Avg fight time
8:57
Bonuses
6
Fights per year
2.7
Since last fight
4mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Jun 5, 2021 — W vs Dusko Todorovic Δ+28Oct 23, 2021 — W vs Junyong Park Δ+35Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Armen Petrosyan Δ-34Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Julian Marquez Δ+36Sep 17, 2022 — W vs Chidi Njokuani Δ+33Jan 21, 2023 — L vs Brunno Ferreira Δ-23Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Denis Tiuliulin Δ+13Feb 10, 2024 — W vs Brad Tavares Δ+20Jul 27, 2024 — W vs Christian Leroy Duncan Δ+14Feb 15, 2025 — L vs Jared Cannonier Δ-19Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Jack Hermansson Δ+19Nov 15, 2025 — W vs Roman Kopylov Δ+14Mar 7, 2026 — W vs Brunno Ferreira Δ+16 14501475150015251550157516001625 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":350.4,"elo":1483,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Dusko Todorovic","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":148.1,"y":287.1,"elo":1517,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"Junyong Park","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":200.3,"y":349.1,"elo":1483,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Armen Petrosyan","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":246.8,"y":283.5,"elo":1519,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Julian Marquez","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":284.5,"y":223.3,"elo":1552,"date":"2022-09-17","opp":"Chidi Njokuani","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":336.8,"y":266.1,"elo":1529,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Brunno Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":6,"x":423.9,"y":242.3,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Denis Tiuliulin","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":496.5,"y":206.7,"elo":1561,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Brad Tavares","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":566.1,"y":181.4,"elo":1575,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Christian Leroy Duncan","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":650.3,"y":217.1,"elo":1556,"date":"2025-02-15","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":705.5,"y":182.9,"elo":1574,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":763.5,"y":157.8,"elo":1588,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Roman Kopylov","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":129.5,"elo":1603,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Brunno Ferreira","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Brunno Ferreira W +16
Nov 15, 2025 Roman Kopylov W +14
Jun 28, 2025 Jack Hermansson W +19
Feb 15, 2025 Jared Cannonier L -19
Jul 27, 2024 Christian Leroy Duncan W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
7 / 10
Finish rate
KO
7
70% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
30% of wins
KO: 7 (70%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (30%) 3
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
4 57%
R2
2 29%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 642 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 6%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1583
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brad Tavares
Elo 1608 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.0
+3.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1493
1578
Notable wins
Brad Tavares 1608 Jack Hermansson 1608

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Gregory Rodrigues on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.