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Chase Sherman

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1443 ±30
LCB 1404
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-11-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +37 · Δ1y +37
Last fight
May 13, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Aug 6, 2016 — L vs Justin Ledet Δ-29Jan 15, 2017 — L vs Walt Harris Δ-37May 13, 2017 — W vs Rashad Coulter Δ+39Jul 22, 2017 — W vs Damian Grabowski Δ+26Nov 25, 2017 — L vs Shamil Abdurakhimov Δ-33Apr 21, 2018 — L vs Justin Willis Δ-12Sep 22, 2018 — L vs Augusto Sakai Δ-16May 13, 2020 — W vs Ike Villanueva Δ+22Apr 17, 2021 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-11Aug 21, 2021 — L vs Parker Porter Δ-14Jan 15, 2022 — L vs Jake Collier Δ-16Apr 30, 2022 — L vs Alexandr Romanov Δ-9Jul 9, 2022 — W vs Jared Vanderaa Δ+20Nov 19, 2022 — L vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Δ-12May 13, 2023 — L vs Karl Williams Δ-11 13661409145314961539 201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":107.3,"elo":1471,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Justin Ledet","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":79.9,"y":152.7,"elo":1434,"date":"2017-01-15","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":2,"x":120.5,"y":104.5,"elo":1474,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Rashad Coulter","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":144.7,"y":72.9,"elo":1499,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Damian Grabowski","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":188.1,"y":113.7,"elo":1466,"date":"2017-11-25","opp":"Shamil Abdurakhimov","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":5,"x":238.8,"y":128.1,"elo":1454,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Justin Willis","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":6,"x":291.9,"y":147.7,"elo":1438,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Augusto Sakai","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":498.4,"y":121.3,"elo":1460,"date":"2020-05-13","opp":"Ike Villanueva","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":8,"x":615.3,"y":135.2,"elo":1448,"date":"2021-04-17","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":9,"x":658.8,"y":152,"elo":1435,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Parker Porter","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":10,"x":709.5,"y":172,"elo":1418,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Jake Collier","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":745.7,"y":182.8,"elo":1410,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Alexandr Romanov","result":"L","delta":-9},{"i":12,"x":769.8,"y":159.1,"elo":1429,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Jared Vanderaa","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":815.7,"y":173.5,"elo":1417,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Waldo Cortes Acosta","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":187.1,"elo":1406,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Karl Williams","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 13, 2023 Karl Williams L -11
Nov 19, 2022 Waldo Cortes Acosta L -12
Jul 9, 2022 Jared Vanderaa W +20
Apr 30, 2022 Alexandr Romanov L -9
Jan 15, 2022 Jake Collier L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.38 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.92 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.08 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
74% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
3
75% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 3 (75%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
2 67%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.4
actual -2 vs expected