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Alistair Overeem

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 203 cm
Elo rating
1590 ±38
LCB 1540
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-8-0
KO 9 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Feb 6, 2021
L by KO

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Dec 30, 2011 — W vs Brock Lesnar Δ+46Feb 2, 2013 — L vs Antonio Silva Δ-35Aug 17, 2013 — L vs Travis Browne Δ-23Feb 1, 2014 — W vs Frank Mir Δ+37Sep 5, 2014 — L vs Ben Rothwell Δ-34Dec 13, 2014 — W vs Stefan Struve Δ+24Mar 14, 2015 — W vs Roy Nelson Δ+18Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Junior Dos Santos Δ+27May 8, 2016 — W vs Andrei Arlovski Δ+24Sep 10, 2016 — L vs Stipe Miocic Δ-17Mar 4, 2017 — W vs Mark Hunt Δ+21Jul 8, 2017 — W vs Fabricio Werdum Δ+19Dec 2, 2017 — L vs Francis Ngannou Δ-16Jun 9, 2018 — L vs Curtis Blaydes Δ-18Nov 24, 2018 — W vs Sergei Pavlovich Δ+15Apr 20, 2019 — W vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ+20Dec 7, 2019 — L vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Δ-19May 16, 2020 — W vs Walt Harris Δ+15Sep 5, 2020 — W vs Augusto Sakai Δ+19Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-18 14481501155416071661 20132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":138.3,"elo":1546,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Brock Lesnar","result":"W","delta":46},{"i":1,"x":126.5,"y":173,"elo":1511,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Antonio Silva","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":2,"x":176.7,"y":196.2,"elo":1488,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":3,"x":219.7,"y":159.8,"elo":1524,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Frank Mir","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":4,"x":275,"y":193.9,"elo":1490,"date":"2014-09-05","opp":"Ben Rothwell","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":300.4,"y":170.2,"elo":1514,"date":"2014-12-13","opp":"Stefan Struve","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":6,"x":323.7,"y":152,"elo":1532,"date":"2015-03-14","opp":"Roy Nelson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":395.4,"y":125.5,"elo":1559,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":8,"x":431.6,"y":101.8,"elo":1582,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":9,"x":463.6,"y":119,"elo":1565,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Stipe Miocic","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":508.4,"y":98.6,"elo":1586,"date":"2017-03-04","opp":"Mark Hunt","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":540.7,"y":79.5,"elo":1605,"date":"2017-07-08","opp":"Fabricio Werdum","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":12,"x":578.3,"y":95.7,"elo":1589,"date":"2017-12-02","opp":"Francis Ngannou","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":626.8,"y":113.4,"elo":1571,"date":"2018-06-09","opp":"Curtis Blaydes","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":14,"x":669.8,"y":98.8,"elo":1585,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"Sergei Pavlovich","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":15,"x":707.4,"y":79,"elo":1605,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":16,"x":766.6,"y":97.9,"elo":1586,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Jairzinho Rozenstruik","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":17,"x":807.9,"y":82.9,"elo":1601,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":18,"x":836.6,"y":63.8,"elo":1621,"date":"2020-09-05","opp":"Augusto Sakai","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":82.3,"elo":1602,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 6, 2021 Alexander Volkov L -18
Sep 5, 2020 Augusto Sakai W +19
May 16, 2020 Walt Harris W +15
Dec 7, 2019 Jairzinho Rozenstruik L -19
Apr 20, 2019 Aleksei Oleinik W +20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.25 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
74% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.68 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.68 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
34% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.20 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
9 / 12
Finish rate
KO
9
75% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
25% of wins
KO: 9 (75%) 9 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (25%) 3
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
4 44%
R2
3 33%
R3
1 11%
R4
R5
1 11%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1593
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.8
actual +3 vs expected