HonestElo
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Lukasz Brzeski

Active #52 heavyweight
Elo rating
1410 ±26
LCB 1377
Rank
#52
top 100% of division
UFC record
1-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Jul 19, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Aug 13, 2022 — L vs Martin Buday Δ-26Mar 11, 2023 — L vs Karl Williams Δ-27Aug 26, 2023 — L vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Δ-27Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Valter Walker Δ+35Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Mick Parkin Δ-21Dec 7, 2024 — L vs Kennedy Nzechukwu Δ-12Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Ryan Spann Δ-12 13701406144214781514 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":83.2,"elo":1474,"date":"2022-08-13","opp":"Martin Buday","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":191.1,"y":122.6,"elo":1447,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Karl Williams","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":2,"x":324.7,"y":162.1,"elo":1420,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"Waldo Cortes Acosta","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":502.9,"y":109.9,"elo":1456,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Valter Walker","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":592,"y":141.1,"elo":1435,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Mick Parkin","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":5,"x":697.8,"y":159.6,"elo":1422,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Kennedy Nzechukwu","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":176.8,"elo":1410,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 19, 2025 Ryan Spann L -12
Dec 7, 2024 Kennedy Nzechukwu L -12
Jul 27, 2024 Mick Parkin L -21
Apr 6, 2024 Valter Walker W +35
Aug 26, 2023 Waldo Cortes Acosta L -27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.26 avg 3.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.43 avg 2.78
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.28
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
32% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1542
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.7
actual -2 vs expected