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Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Active #12 heavyweight · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1603 ±34
LCB 1559
Rank
#12
top 22% of division
UFC record
9-6-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -1 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Feb 1, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Feb 2, 2019 — W vs Junior Albini Δ+32Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Allen Crowder Δ+27Nov 2, 2019 — W vs Andrei Arlovski Δ+34Dec 7, 2019 — W vs Alistair Overeem Δ+34May 9, 2020 — L vs Francis Ngannou Δ-27Aug 15, 2020 — W vs Junior Dos Santos Δ+22Feb 27, 2021 — L vs Ciryl Gane Δ-16Jun 5, 2021 — W vs Augusto Sakai Δ+17Sep 25, 2021 — L vs Curtis Blaydes Δ-15Jun 4, 2022 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-18Dec 10, 2022 — W vs Chris Daukaus Δ+18May 13, 2023 — L vs Jailton Almeida Δ-18Mar 2, 2024 — W vs Shamil Gaziev Δ+16Aug 17, 2024 — W vs Tai Tuivasa Δ+13Feb 1, 2025 — L vs Sergei Pavlovich Δ-16 14921536158016241668 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":187.8,"elo":1532,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Junior Albini","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":1,"x":78.4,"y":155,"elo":1559,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Allen Crowder","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":130.2,"y":113.5,"elo":1593,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":143.8,"y":72.2,"elo":1628,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Alistair Overeem","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":203.7,"y":105.4,"elo":1600,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Francis Ngannou","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":241.8,"y":79.4,"elo":1622,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":6,"x":318,"y":98.4,"elo":1606,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Ciryl Gane","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":356.1,"y":77.8,"elo":1623,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Augusto Sakai","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":399.6,"y":95.5,"elo":1608,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Curtis Blaydes","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":497.6,"y":117.2,"elo":1590,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":571.1,"y":95.4,"elo":1608,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Chris Daukaus","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":631,"y":116.7,"elo":1591,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Jailton Almeida","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":745.3,"y":97.6,"elo":1607,"date":"2024-03-02","opp":"Shamil Gaziev","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":810.7,"y":81.5,"elo":1620,"date":"2024-08-17","opp":"Tai Tuivasa","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":100.8,"elo":1604,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Sergei Pavlovich","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 1, 2025 Sergei Pavlovich L -16
Aug 17, 2024 Tai Tuivasa W +13
Mar 2, 2024 Shamil Gaziev W +16
May 13, 2023 Jailton Almeida L -18
Dec 10, 2022 Chris Daukaus W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.90 avg 3.09
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.19 avg 2.80
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
72% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.32
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
89%
8 / 9
Finish rate
KO
8
89% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
11% of wins
KO: 8 (89%) 8 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (11%) 1
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
2 25%
R3
R4
1 13%
R5
1 13%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1583
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.5
actual +1 vs expected