← Back to event card
✓ Eric Nolan won · by TKO · R3

Court McGee vs Eric Nolan — Honest Elo matchup

Final result · recorded Oct 3, 2026
Eric Nolan
defeated Court McGee by TKO in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Court McGee 12.1% · Eric Nolan 87.9%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Court McGee 51.8% · Eric Nolan 48.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Tale of the tape

11-14-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
-2 Streak +1
41 Age 29
5'11" 180 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1469 Global Elo 1479
1418 Elo rating 1427
Court McGee — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2010
Eric Nolan — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO

Court McGee — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1462 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 8%

Eric Nolan — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 158 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
86% Head
  • Head 86%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 1%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.62
4.46
div avg 4.36
37%
45%
div avg 50%
3.88
4.37
div avg 3.18
60%
59%
div avg 56%
1.70
0.00
div avg 1.85
24%
0%
div avg 44%
71%
54%
div avg 70%
0.43
0.00
div avg 0.45
3
0
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Court McGee
27% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 3
can finish?
Eric Nolan
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses
Eric Nolan
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Court McGee
finished 29%
4 of 14 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Court McGee has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1551 vs 1497, 1 quality wins to 0.

Court McGee red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1551
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Claudio Silva
Elo 1624 at fight time
Expected wins
12.4
−1.4 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 25 fights
1500
1441
Eric Nolan blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1497
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Court McGee
Elo 1490 at fight time
Expected wins
1.4
−0.4 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1500
1490
Corner A recent form
Court McGee
Corner B recent form
Eric Nolan
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Court McGee & Eric Nolan on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.