Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Marvin Vettori

9-9-1 UFC record
KO 0 · Sub 2 Finishes
-5 Streak
33 Age
6'0"183 cm Height
74"188 cm Reach
Southpaw Stance
1531 Global Elo
1487 Elo Rating

Notable

5-fight losing streak
Has never been finished
UFC veteran since 2016

CORNER B

Ismail Naurdiev

5-3-0 UFC record
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes
+2 Streak
30 Age
5'10"178 cm Height
74"188 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1563 Global Elo
1515 Elo Rating

Notable

Has never been finished
#2 in middleweight for Striking Defense

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Other fights on this card · 9

Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong Main event · women's flyweight Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott bantamweight King Green vs Esteban Ribovics lightweight Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov middleweight Imanol Rodriguez vs Alden Coria flyweight Damian Pinas vs Andrey Pulyaev middleweight Johnny Walker vs Mick Parkin heavyweight Rafael Dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez lightweight Court McGee vs Eric Nolan welterweight

Notable

division-context facts

Vettori

Has never been finished — all 9 losses went to the scorecards.

Naurdiev

Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.

Vettori

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

9-9-1	UFC record	5-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 2	Finishes	KO 1 · Sub 0
-5	Streak	+2
33	Age	30
6'0" 183 cm	Height	5'10" 178 cm
74" 188 cm	Reach	74" 188 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
1531	Global Elo	1563
1487	Elo rating	1515

Marvin Vettori — Notable ▼

At a glance

5-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
Has never been finished — durability signal
Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
UFC veteran since 2016

Ismail Naurdiev — Notable ▼

At a glance

Marvin Vettori — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1540 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

78% Head

Head 78%
Body 10%
Leg 12%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

88% Distance

Distance 88%
Clinch 6%
Ground 7%

Ismail Naurdiev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 409 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

54% Head

Head 54%
Body 24%
Leg 22%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

83% Distance

Distance 83%
Clinch 9%
Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.76

3.84

div avg 4.55

45%

50%

div avg 52%

4.57

2.22

div avg 3.30

56%

64%

div avg 54%

1.34

1.69

div avg 1.53

43%

41%

div avg 44%

67%

74%

div avg 75%

0.37

0.28

div avg 0.46

div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Marvin Vettori

22% finish rate

KO 0 · Sub 2

can finish?

Ismail Naurdiev

finished 0%

never finished

Ismail Naurdiev

20% finish rate

KO 1 · Sub 0

can finish?

Marvin Vettori

finished 0%

never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Marvin Vettori has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1601 vs 1543, 4 quality wins to 1.

Marvin Vettori red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1601

Contender level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 9 UFC wins

Toughest win

Paulo Costa

Elo 1639 at fight time

Expected wins

8.7

+0.3 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 19 fights

1463

1547

Notable wins

Paulo Costa 1639 Roman Dolidze 1619 Jack Hermansson 1610 Kevin Holland 1600

Ismail Naurdiev blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1543

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 5 UFC wins

Toughest win

Michel Prazeres

Elo 1639 at fight time

Expected wins

3.7

+1.3 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights

1639

1548

Notable wins

Michel Prazeres 1639

Corner A recent form

Marvin Vettori

L Ismail Naurdiev Decision - Unanimous

Oct 3, 2026
L Brunno Ferreira Decision - Unanimous

Dec 6, 2025
L Brendan Allen Decision - Unanimous

Jul 19, 2025
L Roman Dolidze Decision - Unanimous

Mar 15, 2025
L Jared Cannonier Decision - Unanimous

Jun 17, 2023
W Roman Dolidze Decision - Unanimous

Mar 18, 2023
L Robert Whittaker Decision - Unanimous

Sep 3, 2022
W Paulo Costa Decision - Unanimous

Oct 23, 2021
L Israel Adesanya Decision - Unanimous

Jun 12, 2021
W Kevin Holland Decision - Unanimous

Apr 10, 2021
W Jack Hermansson Decision - Unanimous

Dec 5, 2020
W Karl Roberson Submission · R1

Jun 13, 2020
W Andrew Sanchez Decision - Unanimous

Oct 12, 2019
W Cezar Ferreira Decision - Unanimous

Jul 13, 2019
L Israel Adesanya Decision - Split

Apr 14, 2018
D Omari Akhmedov Decision - Majority

Dec 30, 2017
W Vitor Miranda Decision - Unanimous

Jun 25, 2017
L Antonio Carlos Junior Decision - Unanimous

Dec 30, 2016
W Alberto Uda Submission · R1

Aug 20, 2016

Corner B recent form

Ismail Naurdiev

W Marvin Vettori Decision - Unanimous

Oct 3, 2026
W Ryan Loder KO/TKO · R1

Nov 22, 2025
L Junyong Park Decision - Unanimous

Jun 21, 2025
W Bruno Silva Decision - Unanimous

Oct 26, 2024
L Sean Brady Decision - Unanimous

Feb 29, 2020
W Siyar Bahadurzada Decision - Unanimous

Sep 28, 2019
L Chance Rencountre Decision - Unanimous

Jul 6, 2019
W Michel Prazeres Decision - Unanimous

Feb 23, 2019

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Marvin Vettori & Ismail Naurdiev on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.