Other bouts 6
- 1bantamweight MainPayton TalbottvsDeiveson Figueiredo
- 3heavyweightMick ParkinvsJohnny Walker
- 4middleweightRoman KopylovvsAteba Gautier
- 5flyweightAlden CoriavsImanol Rodriguez
- 6middleweightDamian PinasvsAndrey Pulyaev
- 7welterweightCourt McGeevsEric Nolan
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 6
Notable
Has never been finished — all 8 losses went to the scorecards.
Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Tale of the tape
| 9-8-1 | UFC record | 4-3-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| -4 | Streak | +1 |
| 32 | Age | 30 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 5'10" 178 cm |
| 74" 188 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1548 | Global Elo | 1547 |
| 1501 | Elo rating | 1496 |
Marvin Vettori — Notable ▼
- 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- UFC veteran since 2016
Ismail Naurdiev — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · middleweightLowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- Top 5 · middleweightStriking Defense
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- Has never been finished — durability signal
Marvin Vettori — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1464 landed total · career
- Head 78%
- Body 10%
- Leg 12%
- Distance 87%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 7%
Ismail Naurdiev — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 335 landed total · career
- Head 55%
- Body 26%
- Leg 19%
- Distance 79%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 10%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 1Jackson Mcvey69%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Shara Magomedov63%
- 4Bo Nickal62%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov61%
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- 1Anthony Hernandez5.91
- 2Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 3Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Donte Johnson100%
- 3Robert Bryczek100%
- 4Nursulton Ruziboev80%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 3Bo Nickal100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Julian Marquez2.67
- 2Robert Valentin2.54
- 3Anthony Hernandez1.64
- 4Kyle Daukaus1.53
- 5Gerald Meerschaert1.49
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Marvin Vettori has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1615 vs 1545, 4 quality wins to 1.
- Dec 6, 2025
- Jul 19, 2025
- Mar 15, 2025
- Jun 17, 2023
- Mar 18, 2023
- Nov 22, 2025
- Jun 21, 2025
- Oct 26, 2024
- Feb 29, 2020
- Sep 28, 2019