HonestElo
← Back to event card
✓ Roman Kopylov won · by TKO · R1

Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov — Honest Elo matchup

middleweight
Other bouts 13
Fight Card
UFC 332
Oct 3, 2026 · Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Ateba Gautier
#17 5-1-0
Elo 1572
VS
Corner B
Roman Kopylov
#29 8-5-0
Elo 1542
Final result · recorded Oct 4, 2026
Roman Kopylov
defeated Ateba Gautier by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Ateba Gautier 69.7% · Roman Kopylov 30.3%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Ateba Gautier 58.3% · Roman Kopylov 41.7%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →
Other fights on this card · 9
Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong Main event · women's flyweight Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott bantamweight King Green vs Esteban Ribovics lightweight Imanol Rodriguez vs Alden Coria flyweight Damian Pinas vs Andrey Pulyaev middleweight Johnny Walker vs Mick Parkin heavyweight Rafael Dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez lightweight Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev middleweight Court McGee vs Eric Nolan welterweight

Notable

Kopylov

Finishes 75% of wins (6 KO).

Gautier

Reach advantage of ~6".

Tale of the tape

5-1-0 UFC record 8-5-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 6 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +2
24 Age 35
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
81" 206 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Switch Stance Southpaw
1607 Global Elo 1592
1572 Elo rating 1542
Ateba Gautier — Notable ▼
At a glance
Roman Kopylov — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 75% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Ateba Gautier — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 117 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 3%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 4%

Roman Kopylov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 687 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.80
4.57
div avg 4.55
36%
51%
div avg 52%
3.35
5.02
div avg 3.30
50%
54%
div avg 54%
0.49
1.10
div avg 1.53
100%
50%
div avg 44%
100%
89%
div avg 75%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.46
0
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Ateba Gautier
80% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Roman Kopylov
finished 40%
2 of 5 losses
Roman Kopylov
75% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ateba Gautier
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Roman Kopylov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1595 vs 1502, 1 quality wins to 0.

Ateba Gautier red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1502
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Andrey Pulyaev
Elo 1507 at fight time
Expected wins
3.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1471
1571
Roman Kopylov blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1595
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ateba Gautier
Elo 1629 at fight time
Expected wins
6.2
+1.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1537
1629
Notable wins
Ateba Gautier 1629
Corner A recent form
Ateba Gautier
Corner B recent form
Roman Kopylov
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Ateba Gautier & Roman Kopylov on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.