HonestElo
← Back to event card
middleweight
Other bouts 6
Fight Card
UFC 332
Oct 3, 2026 · Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Roman Kopylov
#32 7-5-0
Elo 1525
VS
Corner B
Ateba Gautier
#11 5-0-0
Elo 1603

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Roman Kopylov 50.0%
Corner B Ateba Gautier 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →
Other fights on this card · 6
Payton Talbott vs Deiveson Figueiredo Main event · bantamweight Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev middleweight Mick Parkin vs Johnny Walker heavyweight Alden Coria vs Imanol Rodriguez flyweight Damian Pinas vs Andrey Pulyaev middleweight Court McGee vs Eric Nolan welterweight

Notable

Gautier

Unbeaten in the UFC at 5–0.

Kopylov

Finishes 71% of wins (5 KO).

Gautier

Reach advantage of ~6".

Tale of the tape

7-5-0 UFC record 5-0-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 0
+1 Streak +5
35 Age 24
6'0" 183 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 81" 206 cm
Southpaw Stance Switch
1571 Global Elo 1629
1525 Elo rating 1603
Roman Kopylov — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 71% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Ateba Gautier — Notable ▼
At a glance

Roman Kopylov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 668 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
92% Distance
  • Distance 92%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 4%

Ateba Gautier — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 110 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
75% Head
  • Head 75%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.54
3.99
div avg 4.30
50%
38%
div avg 51%
5.08
3.05
div avg 3.32
53%
54%
div avg 54%
1.12
0.54
div avg 1.77
50%
100%
div avg 48%
89%
100%
div avg 71%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.54
1
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Roman Kopylov
71% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ateba Gautier
finished —
no losses
Ateba Gautier
80% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Roman Kopylov
finished 40%
2 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Roman Kopylov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1576 vs 1483, 0 quality wins to 0.

Roman Kopylov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1576
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Chris Curtis
Elo 1592 at fight time
Expected wins
5.8
+1.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1537
1528
Ateba Gautier blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1483
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Andrey Pulyaev
Elo 1507 at fight time
Expected wins
3.0
+2.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1471
1501
Corner A recent form
Roman Kopylov
Corner B recent form
Ateba Gautier
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Roman Kopylov & Ateba Gautier on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.